Google's Gemini Omni Flash and Veo 3.1 models drive the 65% market-implied odds through strong recent performance on Artificial Analysis and other text-to-video arenas, where they frequently rank at or near the top for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and multimodal editing features released in mid-2026. Traders favor Google due to its integrated API access, consistent benchmark leadership over alternatives, and broad availability via Gemini, creating a clear edge heading into the late-October resolution. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 sits at 13.5% on the strength of its motion quality and data advantages but trails in overall consensus. Rapid iteration across labs, including potential October updates from competitors, keeps the field fluid despite Google's current positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGoogle 65%
ByteDance 12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.4%
Meta 1.3%
$37,217 Vol.
$37,217 Vol.
31 oct 2026
65%
ByteDance
12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
3%
Meta
1%
Pixverse
1%
Tencent
1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Pika
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Runway
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Google 65%
ByteDance 12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.4%
Meta 1.3%
$37,217 Vol.
$37,217 Vol.
31 oct 2026
$25,056 Vol.
65%
ByteDance
$5,080 Vol.
12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$772 Vol.
3%
Meta
$502 Vol.
1%
Pixverse
$426 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$466 Vol.
1%
KlingAI
$578 Vol.
<1%
Pruna
$351 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$509 Vol.
<1%
Kandinsky
$426 Vol.
<1%
Lightricks
$427 Vol.
<1%
Pika
$470 Vol.
<1%
Genmo AI
$443 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$494 Vol.
<1%
Runway
$418 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$426 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini Omni Flash and Veo 3.1 models drive the 65% market-implied odds through strong recent performance on Artificial Analysis and other text-to-video arenas, where they frequently rank at or near the top for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and multimodal editing features released in mid-2026. Traders favor Google due to its integrated API access, consistent benchmark leadership over alternatives, and broad availability via Gemini, creating a clear edge heading into the late-October resolution. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 sits at 13.5% on the strength of its motion quality and data advantages but trails in overall consensus. Rapid iteration across labs, including potential October updates from competitors, keeps the field fluid despite Google's current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volumen
$37,217Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini Omni Flash and Veo 3.1 models drive the 65% market-implied odds through strong recent performance on Artificial Analysis and other text-to-video arenas, where they frequently rank at or near the top for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and multimodal editing features released in mid-2026. Traders favor Google due to its integrated API access, consistent benchmark leadership over alternatives, and broad availability via Gemini, creating a clear edge heading into the late-October resolution. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 sits at 13.5% on the strength of its motion quality and data advantages but trails in overall consensus. Rapid iteration across labs, including potential October updates from competitors, keeps the field fluid despite Google's current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$37,217Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini Omni Flash and Veo 3.1 models drive the 65% market-implied odds through strong recent performance on Artificial Analysis and other text-to-video arenas, where they frequently rank at or near the top for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and multimodal editing features released in mid-2026. Traders favor Google due to its integrated API access, consistent benchmark leadership over alternatives, and broad availability via Gemini, creating a clear edge heading into the late-October resolution. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 sits at 13.5% on the strength of its motion quality and data advantages but trails in overall consensus. Rapid iteration across labs, including potential October updates from competitors, keeps the field fluid despite Google's current positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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