Google Veo 3.1 drives the overwhelming 87% market-implied odds through its leadership in independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio with dialogue, and up to 4K cinematic realism as of mid-August 2026. Recent DeepMind updates added single-pass audiovisual generation and enterprise integrations with YouTube and Vertex AI, distinguishing it from competitors that often require separate audio tools or lag in physics and consistency. Kling 3.0 and Runway Gen-4.5 trail due to narrower strengths in motion or control, while OpenAI Sora faces access and development hurdles reflected in its near-zero odds. With resolution approaching end of August, traders favor the model with the strongest verified technical edge and ecosystem positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGoogle 87%
ByteDance 12.3%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$28,734 Vol.
$28,734 Vol.
31 ago 2026
87%
ByteDance
12%
MiniMax
1%
Meta
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Pixverse
<1%
Runway
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Pika
<1%
Google 87%
ByteDance 12.3%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$28,734 Vol.
$28,734 Vol.
31 ago 2026
$10,559 Vol.
87%
ByteDance
$5,960 Vol.
12%
MiniMax
$1,349 Vol.
1%
Meta
$1,036 Vol.
<1%
Lightricks
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
Genmo AI
$2,294 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$525 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$663 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$560 Vol.
<1%
Pixverse
$578 Vol.
<1%
Runway
$525 Vol.
<1%
KlingAI
$506 Vol.
<1%
Pruna
$534 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$708 Vol.
<1%
Kandinsky
$568 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$806 Vol.
<1%
Pika
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google Veo 3.1 drives the overwhelming 87% market-implied odds through its leadership in independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio with dialogue, and up to 4K cinematic realism as of mid-August 2026. Recent DeepMind updates added single-pass audiovisual generation and enterprise integrations with YouTube and Vertex AI, distinguishing it from competitors that often require separate audio tools or lag in physics and consistency. Kling 3.0 and Runway Gen-4.5 trail due to narrower strengths in motion or control, while OpenAI Sora faces access and development hurdles reflected in its near-zero odds. With resolution approaching end of August, traders favor the model with the strongest verified technical edge and ecosystem positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
Volumen
$28,734Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google Veo 3.1 drives the overwhelming 87% market-implied odds through its leadership in independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio with dialogue, and up to 4K cinematic realism as of mid-August 2026. Recent DeepMind updates added single-pass audiovisual generation and enterprise integrations with YouTube and Vertex AI, distinguishing it from competitors that often require separate audio tools or lag in physics and consistency. Kling 3.0 and Runway Gen-4.5 trail due to narrower strengths in motion or control, while OpenAI Sora faces access and development hurdles reflected in its near-zero odds. With resolution approaching end of August, traders favor the model with the strongest verified technical edge and ecosystem positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$28,734Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google Veo 3.1 drives the overwhelming 87% market-implied odds through its leadership in independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio with dialogue, and up to 4K cinematic realism as of mid-August 2026. Recent DeepMind updates added single-pass audiovisual generation and enterprise integrations with YouTube and Vertex AI, distinguishing it from competitors that often require separate audio tools or lag in physics and consistency. Kling 3.0 and Runway Gen-4.5 trail due to narrower strengths in motion or control, while OpenAI Sora faces access and development hurdles reflected in its near-zero odds. With resolution approaching end of August, traders favor the model with the strongest verified technical edge and ecosystem positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes