OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026 and integrated into ChatGPT, drives the 90% market-implied odds through consistent leadership on blind-vote arenas such as Artificial Analysis, where it posts the highest Elo scores for prompt adherence, text rendering, and image editing. Its integration with conversational reasoning and broad accessibility via existing subscriptions has solidified trader consensus ahead of the late-August resolution. Rivals including Black Forest Labs’ FLUX.2/FLUX 3 (multimodal early access in July), Meta’s Muse Image, Google’s Gemini image variants, Ideogram, and Recraft trail in head-to-head evaluations, with no major capability jumps reported in the past month that could close the gap before month-end. Limited near-term catalysts beyond routine updates keep the current hierarchy stable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOpenAI 90%
Microsoft AI 5.3%
Meta 4.2%
Tencent 3.2%
$20,709 Vol.
$20,709 Vol.
31 ago 2026
OpenAI
90%
Microsoft AI
5%
Meta
4%
Tencent
3%
Alibaba
3%
1%
Black Forest Labs
1%
Bytedance
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Ideogram
<1%
Reve
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Recraft
<1%
OpenAI 90%
Microsoft AI 5.3%
Meta 4.2%
Tencent 3.2%
$20,709 Vol.
$20,709 Vol.
31 ago 2026
OpenAI
$14,188 Vol.
90%
Microsoft AI
$377 Vol.
5%
Meta
$658 Vol.
4%
Tencent
$515 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$510 Vol.
3%
$355 Vol.
1%
Black Forest Labs
$355 Vol.
1%
Bytedance
$355 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,815 Vol.
1%
Ideogram
$444 Vol.
<1%
Reve
$449 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$332 Vol.
<1%
Recraft
$355 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026 and integrated into ChatGPT, drives the 90% market-implied odds through consistent leadership on blind-vote arenas such as Artificial Analysis, where it posts the highest Elo scores for prompt adherence, text rendering, and image editing. Its integration with conversational reasoning and broad accessibility via existing subscriptions has solidified trader consensus ahead of the late-August resolution. Rivals including Black Forest Labs’ FLUX.2/FLUX 3 (multimodal early access in July), Meta’s Muse Image, Google’s Gemini image variants, Ideogram, and Recraft trail in head-to-head evaluations, with no major capability jumps reported in the past month that could close the gap before month-end. Limited near-term catalysts beyond routine updates keep the current hierarchy stable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ET
Volumen
$20,709Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026 and integrated into ChatGPT, drives the 90% market-implied odds through consistent leadership on blind-vote arenas such as Artificial Analysis, where it posts the highest Elo scores for prompt adherence, text rendering, and image editing. Its integration with conversational reasoning and broad accessibility via existing subscriptions has solidified trader consensus ahead of the late-August resolution. Rivals including Black Forest Labs’ FLUX.2/FLUX 3 (multimodal early access in July), Meta’s Muse Image, Google’s Gemini image variants, Ideogram, and Recraft trail in head-to-head evaluations, with no major capability jumps reported in the past month that could close the gap before month-end. Limited near-term catalysts beyond routine updates keep the current hierarchy stable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$20,709Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026 and integrated into ChatGPT, drives the 90% market-implied odds through consistent leadership on blind-vote arenas such as Artificial Analysis, where it posts the highest Elo scores for prompt adherence, text rendering, and image editing. Its integration with conversational reasoning and broad accessibility via existing subscriptions has solidified trader consensus ahead of the late-August resolution. Rivals including Black Forest Labs’ FLUX.2/FLUX 3 (multimodal early access in July), Meta’s Muse Image, Google’s Gemini image variants, Ideogram, and Recraft trail in head-to-head evaluations, with no major capability jumps reported in the past month that could close the gap before month-end. Limited near-term catalysts beyond routine updates keep the current hierarchy stable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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