**Strong summer performance is anchoring trader sentiment around a mid-tier finish for 2026.** The domestic box office posted a record $4.76 billion from May through Labor Day, eclipsing the 2013 benchmark, fueled by Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $926 million domestically) and The Odyssey (over $590 million), alongside Toy Story 5 and other tentpoles. Year-to-date totals sit roughly 13-14% ahead of 2025, with full-year projections now targeting $9.5–10+ billion—the first such mark since 2019—supported by a loaded Q4 slate including Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3. These results have narrowed the gap to pre-pandemic peaks but leave 2026 trailing the all-time leaders, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 10th–12th place while leaving room for upside from late-year momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
10th-12th 54%
6th or higher 18%
7th-9th 17%
Below 15th 5.0%
$10,758 Vol.
$10,758 Vol.
31 dic 2026
6th or higher
18%
7th-9th
16%
10th-12th
54%
13th-15th
4%
Below 15th
5%
10th-12th 54%
6th or higher 18%
7th-9th 17%
Below 15th 5.0%
$10,758 Vol.
$10,758 Vol.
31 dic 2026
6th or higher
$6,065 Vol.
18%
7th-9th
$884 Vol.
16%
10th-12th
$3,154 Vol.
54%
13th-15th
$329 Vol.
4%
Below 15th
$326 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer performance is anchoring trader sentiment around a mid-tier finish for 2026.** The domestic box office posted a record $4.76 billion from May through Labor Day, eclipsing the 2013 benchmark, fueled by Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $926 million domestically) and The Odyssey (over $590 million), alongside Toy Story 5 and other tentpoles. Year-to-date totals sit roughly 13-14% ahead of 2025, with full-year projections now targeting $9.5–10+ billion—the first such mark since 2019—supported by a loaded Q4 slate including Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3. These results have narrowed the gap to pre-pandemic peaks but leave 2026 trailing the all-time leaders, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 10th–12th place while leaving room for upside from late-year momentum.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volumen
$10,758Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer performance is anchoring trader sentiment around a mid-tier finish for 2026.** The domestic box office posted a record $4.76 billion from May through Labor Day, eclipsing the 2013 benchmark, fueled by Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $926 million domestically) and The Odyssey (over $590 million), alongside Toy Story 5 and other tentpoles. Year-to-date totals sit roughly 13-14% ahead of 2025, with full-year projections now targeting $9.5–10+ billion—the first such mark since 2019—supported by a loaded Q4 slate including Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3. These results have narrowed the gap to pre-pandemic peaks but leave 2026 trailing the all-time leaders, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 10th–12th place while leaving room for upside from late-year momentum.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$10,758Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong summer performance is anchoring trader sentiment around a mid-tier finish for 2026.** The domestic box office posted a record $4.76 billion from May through Labor Day, eclipsing the 2013 benchmark, fueled by Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $926 million domestically) and The Odyssey (over $590 million), alongside Toy Story 5 and other tentpoles. Year-to-date totals sit roughly 13-14% ahead of 2025, with full-year projections now targeting $9.5–10+ billion—the first such mark since 2019—supported by a loaded Q4 slate including Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3. These results have narrowed the gap to pre-pandemic peaks but leave 2026 trailing the all-time leaders, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 10th–12th place while leaving room for upside from late-year momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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