Recent Senate deliberations over confirming Jerome Powell’s successor have kept the implied probabilities for his departure tightly balanced between the weeks of May 15–22 and May 23–29. Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair ends May 15, 2026, yet the precise handover hinges on the pace of committee hearings, Senate floor scheduling, and any procedural holds that could extend the transition by days. Market pricing reflects the narrow window in which routine legislative timing alone can determine whether the change occurs before or after May 22, with later dates priced at minimal levels absent unforeseen delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 51.4%
May 23–29 36.9%
May 30–June 5 5.8%
June 6–12 2.2%
$165,274 Vol.
$165,274 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
51%
May 23–29
44%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
2%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 51.4%
May 23–29 36.9%
May 30–June 5 5.8%
June 6–12 2.2%
$165,274 Vol.
$165,274 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
$62,157 Vol.
51%
May 23–29
$8,197 Vol.
44%
May 30–June 5
$9,064 Vol.
6%
June 6–12
$9,011 Vol.
2%
June 13–19
$8,827 Vol.
2%
June 20–26
$10,043 Vol.
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,151 Vol.
1%
After July 3
$15,871 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Senate deliberations over confirming Jerome Powell’s successor have kept the implied probabilities for his departure tightly balanced between the weeks of May 15–22 and May 23–29. Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair ends May 15, 2026, yet the precise handover hinges on the pace of committee hearings, Senate floor scheduling, and any procedural holds that could extend the transition by days. Market pricing reflects the narrow window in which routine legislative timing alone can determine whether the change occurs before or after May 22, with later dates priced at minimal levels absent unforeseen delays.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volumen
$165,274Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Senate deliberations over confirming Jerome Powell’s successor have kept the implied probabilities for his departure tightly balanced between the weeks of May 15–22 and May 23–29. Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair ends May 15, 2026, yet the precise handover hinges on the pace of committee hearings, Senate floor scheduling, and any procedural holds that could extend the transition by days. Market pricing reflects the narrow window in which routine legislative timing alone can determine whether the change occurs before or after May 22, with later dates priced at minimal levels absent unforeseen delays.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$165,274Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Senate deliberations over confirming Jerome Powell’s successor have kept the implied probabilities for his departure tightly balanced between the weeks of May 15–22 and May 23–29. Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair ends May 15, 2026, yet the precise handover hinges on the pace of committee hearings, Senate floor scheduling, and any procedural holds that could extend the transition by days. Market pricing reflects the narrow window in which routine legislative timing alone can determine whether the change occurs before or after May 22, with later dates priced at minimal levels absent unforeseen delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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