Trader consensus on the median US home value remaining below 432k on May 31 reflects the latest national benchmarks clustered between 360k and 420k, including the Census Bureau’s Q1 2026 median sales price of 403,200 and Zillow’s estimated home values near 368k as of late April. Slowing year-over-year appreciation, reported at just 0.4% in March data, combined with persistently elevated mortgage rates, has capped price momentum and limited monthly gains. High financing costs continue to weigh on buyer demand, keeping transaction medians anchored. While a sudden surge in luxury sales or a data revision could theoretically push readings higher, such shifts would require unprecedented one-month acceleration inconsistent with recent trends in existing-home and new-home metrics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhat will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
<432k 100.0%
432 - 434k <1%
434 - 436k <1%
436 - 438k <1%
$6,938 Vol.
$6,938 Vol.
31 may 2026
<432k
Yes
432 - 434k
No
434 - 436k
No
436 - 438k
No
438 - 440k
No
440 - 442k
No
442 - 445k
No
>445k
No
<432k 100.0%
432 - 434k <1%
434 - 436k <1%
436 - 438k <1%
$6,938 Vol.
$6,938 Vol.
31 may 2026
<432k
$1,956 Vol.
Yes
432 - 434k
$946 Vol.
No
434 - 436k
$397 Vol.
No
436 - 438k
$655 Vol.
No
438 - 440k
$1,605 Vol.
No
440 - 442k
$438 Vol.
No
442 - 445k
$308 Vol.
No
>445k
$633 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Trader consensus on the median US home value remaining below 432k on May 31 reflects the latest national benchmarks clustered between 360k and 420k, including the Census Bureau’s Q1 2026 median sales price of 403,200 and Zillow’s estimated home values near 368k as of late April. Slowing year-over-year appreciation, reported at just 0.4% in March data, combined with persistently elevated mortgage rates, has capped price momentum and limited monthly gains. High financing costs continue to weigh on buyer demand, keeping transaction medians anchored. While a sudden surge in luxury sales or a data revision could theoretically push readings higher, such shifts would require unprecedented one-month acceleration inconsistent with recent trends in existing-home and new-home metrics.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$6,938Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Trader consensus on the median US home value remaining below 432k on May 31 reflects the latest national benchmarks clustered between 360k and 420k, including the Census Bureau’s Q1 2026 median sales price of 403,200 and Zillow’s estimated home values near 368k as of late April. Slowing year-over-year appreciation, reported at just 0.4% in March data, combined with persistently elevated mortgage rates, has capped price momentum and limited monthly gains. High financing costs continue to weigh on buyer demand, keeping transaction medians anchored. While a sudden surge in luxury sales or a data revision could theoretically push readings higher, such shifts would require unprecedented one-month acceleration inconsistent with recent trends in existing-home and new-home metrics.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Volumen
$6,938Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Trader consensus on the median US home value remaining below 432k on May 31 reflects the latest national benchmarks clustered between 360k and 420k, including the Census Bureau’s Q1 2026 median sales price of 403,200 and Zillow’s estimated home values near 368k as of late April. Slowing year-over-year appreciation, reported at just 0.4% in March data, combined with persistently elevated mortgage rates, has capped price momentum and limited monthly gains. High financing costs continue to weigh on buyer demand, keeping transaction medians anchored. While a sudden surge in luxury sales or a data revision could theoretically push readings higher, such shifts would require unprecedented one-month acceleration inconsistent with recent trends in existing-home and new-home metrics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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