Recent housing market data releases through April 2026 have anchored trader consensus around the sub-$1.228 million outcome for the San Francisco metro median home value, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.37 million offset by moderating sale-price growth in broader metro statistics amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%. Persistent high inventory in some segments and selective buyer caution following last year’s rate volatility have reinforced expectations of limited upward pressure through month-end. The overwhelming 100% implied probability on the lowest bin reflects this data-driven stability, though an unexpected surge in AI-sector demand or sharp rate cuts could still push final figures higher and test the current positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhat will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
<1.228m 100.0%
1.228 - 1.238m <1%
1.238 - 1.249m <1%
1.249 - 1.259m <1%
$5,851 Vol.
$5,851 Vol.
31 may 2026
<1.228m
Yes
1.228 - 1.238m
No
1.238 - 1.249m
No
1.249 - 1.259m
No
1.259 - 1.27m
No
1.27 - 1.28m
No
1.28 - 1.301m
No
>1.301m
No
<1.228m 100.0%
1.228 - 1.238m <1%
1.238 - 1.249m <1%
1.249 - 1.259m <1%
$5,851 Vol.
$5,851 Vol.
31 may 2026
<1.228m
$1,186 Vol.
Yes
1.228 - 1.238m
$329 Vol.
No
1.238 - 1.249m
$1,165 Vol.
No
1.249 - 1.259m
$1,683 Vol.
No
1.259 - 1.27m
$726 Vol.
No
1.27 - 1.28m
$238 Vol.
No
1.28 - 1.301m
$286 Vol.
No
>1.301m
$238 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing market data releases through April 2026 have anchored trader consensus around the sub-$1.228 million outcome for the San Francisco metro median home value, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.37 million offset by moderating sale-price growth in broader metro statistics amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%. Persistent high inventory in some segments and selective buyer caution following last year’s rate volatility have reinforced expectations of limited upward pressure through month-end. The overwhelming 100% implied probability on the lowest bin reflects this data-driven stability, though an unexpected surge in AI-sector demand or sharp rate cuts could still push final figures higher and test the current positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$5,851Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing market data releases through April 2026 have anchored trader consensus around the sub-$1.228 million outcome for the San Francisco metro median home value, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.37 million offset by moderating sale-price growth in broader metro statistics amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%. Persistent high inventory in some segments and selective buyer caution following last year’s rate volatility have reinforced expectations of limited upward pressure through month-end. The overwhelming 100% implied probability on the lowest bin reflects this data-driven stability, though an unexpected surge in AI-sector demand or sharp rate cuts could still push final figures higher and test the current positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volumen
$5,851Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Recent housing market data releases through April 2026 have anchored trader consensus around the sub-$1.228 million outcome for the San Francisco metro median home value, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.37 million offset by moderating sale-price growth in broader metro statistics amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%. Persistent high inventory in some segments and selective buyer caution following last year’s rate volatility have reinforced expectations of limited upward pressure through month-end. The overwhelming 100% implied probability on the lowest bin reflects this data-driven stability, though an unexpected surge in AI-sector demand or sharp rate cuts could still push final figures higher and test the current positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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