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icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?

$518K - $524K 34.4%

$512K - $518K 32.5%

<$512K 13.3%

$524K - $530K 12.0%

Polymarket

$38,118 Vol.

$518K - $524K 34.4%

$512K - $518K 32.5%

<$512K 13.3%

$524K - $530K 12.0%

Polymarket

$38,118 Vol.

<$512K

$964 Vol.

13%

$512K - $518K

$3,634 Vol.

33%

$518K - $524K

$12,654 Vol.

34%

$524K - $530K

$4,486 Vol.

12%

$530K - $536K

$4,206 Vol.

3%

$536K - $542K

$7,922 Vol.

6%

$542K+

$4,253 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent softening in the DC Metro housing market, including year-over-year median sale price declines of 2-6% in city and suburban data through mid-2026, has anchored trader sentiment around the $512K-$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates, rising active listings, and moderating demand amid broader economic uncertainty have pressured values lower from spring peaks near $680K, though single-family segments show relative resilience. With the September 30 resolution approaching, the near-even split between adjacent bins reflects sensitivity to final inventory releases and any late-August rate signals, as modest shifts in transaction volume or buyer activity could determine the exact outcome.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volumen
$38,118
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent softening in the DC Metro housing market, including year-over-year median sale price declines of 2-6% in city and suburban data through mid-2026, has anchored trader sentiment around the $512K-$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates, rising active listings, and moderating demand amid broader economic uncertainty have pressured values lower from spring peaks near $680K, though single-family segments show relative resilience. With the September 30 resolution approaching, the near-even split between adjacent bins reflects sensitivity to final inventory releases and any late-August rate signals, as modest shifts in transaction volume or buyer activity could determine the exact outcome.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volumen
$38,118
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "$518K - $524K" con 34%, seguido de "$512K - $518K" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?" ha generado $38.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?" es "$518K - $524K" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$512K - $518K" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 30 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.