Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$339k - $342k 99.6%
<$339k <1%
$342k - $345k <1%
$345k - $348k <1%
$10,399 Vol.
$10,399 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<$339k
No
$339k - $342k
Sí
$342k - $345k
No
$345k - $348k
No
$348k - $351k
No
$351k - $354k
No
>$354k
No
$339k - $342k 99.6%
<$339k <1%
$342k - $345k <1%
$345k - $348k <1%
$10,399 Vol.
$10,399 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<$339k
$570 Vol.
No
$339k - $342k
$1,142 Vol.
Sí
$342k - $345k
$593 Vol.
No
$345k - $348k
$860 Vol.
No
$348k - $351k
$5,983 Vol.
No
$351k - $354k
$524 Vol.
No
>$354k
$726 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$10,399Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volumen
$10,399Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Chicago de al menos $345,000 el 30 de septiembre?
37%
Sí
¿Estará el valor medio de la vivienda en EE. UU. entre $419,000 y $426,000 el 30 de septiembre?
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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