¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?
$6,672,168 Vol.
18 jun 2026
16 de junio
$4,579,711 Vol.
No
17 de junio
$1,247,737 Vol.
Sí
19 de junio
$261,900 Vol.
Sí
30 de junio
$582,820 Vol.
Sí
$6,672,168 Vol.
16 de junio
$4,579,711 Vol.
No
17 de junio
$1,247,737 Vol.
Sí
19 de junio
$261,900 Vol.
Sí
30 de junio
$582,820 Vol.
Sí
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, to halt hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, waive certain oil sanctions during talks, and launch 60 days of nuclear negotiations. The framework, mediated in part by Pakistan, sets a signing date of June 19 in Switzerland, with both sides confirming agreed wording. Media outlets obtained and published draft and full text details shortly afterward, including a 14-point structure covering ceasefire terms, sanctions relief pathways, and economic incentives tied to compliance. President Trump indicated public release would follow the ceremony, while administration briefings have already disclosed core elements. These developments have aligned trader consensus with rapid disclosure, as verified primary reporting and official statements confirm the text is now available ahead of the formal signing.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado final: No
US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, to halt hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, waive certain oil sanctions during talks, and launch 60 days of nuclear negotiations. The framework, mediated in part by Pakistan, sets a signing date of June 19 in Switzerland, with both sides confirming agreed wording. Media outlets obtained and published draft and full text details shortly afterward, including a 14-point structure covering ceasefire terms, sanctions relief pathways, and economic incentives tied to compliance. President Trump indicated public release would follow the ceremony, while administration briefings have already disclosed core elements. These developments have aligned trader consensus with rapid disclosure, as verified primary reporting and official statements confirm the text is now available ahead of the formal signing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Jun 18 2026
Media outlets publish full text of US-Iran deal
June 17 rises to 100%2%
On June 18, 2026, multiple major news organizations published the full text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, confirming the text's wide public availability. This led to the market price reaching 100% for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes, indicating consensus that the text was released.
Jun 17 2026
US officially releases full 14-point memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 98%39%
The United States government officially released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, including provisions on ceasefire, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This official release confirmed the authenticity of the text and caused the market price to surge to near 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US releases full 14-point agreement text with Iran
June 17 surges to 100%64%
On June 17, 2026, the United States officially released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This public release confirmed the text's availability, causing a sharp rise in market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
Iran publishes official 14-point agreement text
June 17 surges to 100%64%
Iran's government published its copy of the 14-point framework deal on June 17, 2026, matching the US release and confirming the text's authenticity. This reinforced market confidence that the agreement text was widely available, supporting the price surge.
Jun 17 2026
Senior US official reads full text of US-Iran memorandum to reporters
June 17 surges to 100%64%
A senior US administration official publicly read the full 14-point memorandum of understanding on June 17, 2026, providing detailed provisions and timelines. This official disclosure further confirmed the text's public availability, solidifying market certainty.
Jun 17 2026
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly shares full US-Iran deal text
June 17 rises to 100%3%
On June 17, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian published the full text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding on his official social media account, confirming the authenticity and public availability of the agreement text. This official release further solidified market confidence, pushing prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes to 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US officials publicly release full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding
June 17 rises to 100%3%
On June 17, US officials publicly read out and released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, confirming the details of the agreement including ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear negotiation framework. This official disclosure confirmed the public availability of the agreement text, supporting the market's resolution to 'Yes' for June 17 and June 30.
Jun 17 2026
US releases official 14-point agreement text with Iran
The United States officially released the 14-point memorandum of understanding text, detailing the terms of the ceasefire, sanctions relief, and nuclear negotiations. This official release, alongside Iran's publication, confirmed the text's wide public availability and led to the market price reaching 100% for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
US officially releases full text of 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran
June 17 surges to 100%41%
On June 17, the United States government officially released the full text of the memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This official release confirmed the text's wide availability to the public, causing the market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes to reach 100%.
Jun 17 2026
Iran publishes its copy of the 14-point US-Iran framework deal
June 17 surges to 100%41%
On June 17, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian published Tehran's copy of the 14-point framework deal, matching the US release and confirming the text's authenticity and public availability. This further solidified market confidence in the text's release.
Jun 17 2026
Bloomberg reports Iran to resume oil exports under interim US deal
June 17 surges to 55%23%
On June 17, Bloomberg reported that Iran would be allowed to immediately start oil exports under the interim deal with the US, citing a draft of the agreement. This report included verbatim text excerpts, confirming public access to the agreement's wording.
Jun 17 2026
Insurance Journal publishes full 14-point draft memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 55%23%
Insurance Journal published the full text of the 14-point draft MoU on June 17, including detailed provisions about lifting the naval blockade and restoring shipping traffic, confirming the agreement text was widely available to the public.
Jun 17 2026
CNN Obtains and Publishes Full Text of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
June 17 surges to 83%40%
CNN published the full 14-point text of the memorandum of understanding obtained from a US official, confirming the exact wording of the agreement and causing a final surge in the June 17 and June 19 markets.
Jun 17 2026
US administration publicly releases full text of 14-point US-Iran agreement
June 17 surges to 100%70%
On June 17, 2026, the US government officially released the full text of the memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing the ceasefire extension, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear program provisions. This public disclosure met the market's resolution criteria, causing prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes to surge to 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US administration officially releases full 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 100%68%
On June 17, 2026, a senior US administration official publicly read out and provided the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran. This official release included detailed provisions on ceasefire, sanctions relief, nuclear commitments, and economic plans, fulfilling the market's criteria for public availability of the agreement text and causing a sharp rise in market prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
Multiple major news outlets publish full text of US-Iran agreement
June 17 surges to 100%45%
On June 17, major news organizations including CNN, The New York Times, Time, Euronews, and NBC News published the full text of the US-Iran 14-point agreement, confirming its wide public availability. This broad media dissemination solidified market confidence that the agreement text was publicly released by June 17.
Jun 17 2026
Senior US officials publicly read and release official 14-point US-Iran agreement text
June 17 surges to 100%17%
On June 17, senior US administration officials publicly read the full 14-point memorandum of understanding text and released the official document, confirming the details of the agreement. Iran's president also published the document on social media, confirming the text's authenticity. This official release and confirmation caused the market to reach 100% certainty that the text was publicly available before the deadline.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding published by analysts and media
June 16 surges to 39%23%
On June 16, foreign policy analyst Josh Block and Saudi media published the full 14-point draft text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, detailing clauses on sanctions relief, oil exports, and further negotiations. Western media outlets such as the Wall Street Journal and Axios corroborated these details, confirming the authenticity of the text and boosting market confidence in the public release of the agreement text.
Jun 16 2026
Al Arabiya Publishes Leaked Text of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
June 16 surges to 59%46%
Saudi state-owned media outlet Al Arabiya obtained and published the full 14-point draft text of the US-Iran agreement, detailing sanctions relief, a $300 billion development fund, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked 14-point draft memorandum of understanding between US and Iran published
June 16 surges to 43%27%
On June 16, foreign policy analyst Josh Block and Saudi media published an identical version of the US-Iran MoU text, detailing all 14 clauses of the agreement to be signed on June 19. Western media outlets corroborated the authenticity of this leaked text, confirming public availability of the agreement's wording.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked and published full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding
June 17 surges to 70%47%
On June 16, multiple sources including foreign policy analysts and Saudi media published the leaked full text of the 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding, detailing ceasefire extension, sanctions relief, and regional security measures. This public release of the text caused a significant jump in market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes, confirming the availability of the agreement text to the public.
Jun 16 2026
Western Media Outlets Corroborate Leaked US-Iran Agreement Clauses
June 17 surges to 70%41%
Major Western news organizations, including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and Axios, confirmed the authenticity of the leaked 14-point agreement, driving up the probability of the June 17 outcome.
Jun 16 2026
Bloomberg publishes detailed 14-point draft memorandum of understanding
June 16 surges to 43%27%
Bloomberg News published the full 14-point draft MoU text on June 16, providing the most complete public accounting of the economic and diplomatic terms of the US-Iran agreement, confirming the text's wide availability to the public.
Jun 16 2026
Bloomberg publishes 14-point draft memorandum text between US and Iran
June 17 surges to 64%28%
On June 16, 2026, Bloomberg published the 14-point draft memorandum of understanding text between the US and Iran, providing the public with verbatim portions of the agreement text, which increased market confidence in a "Yes" resolution for text release by June 17 and beyond.
Jun 16 2026
US Vice President JD Vance confirms expectation of text release before signing
June 17 surges to 64%28%
On June 16, 2026, US Vice President JD Vance stated in interviews that the administration expected a full spectrum of representatives at the signing and indicated the finalized text was ready, signaling imminent public release and boosting market prices for near-term text availability.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, to halt hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, waive certain oil sanctions during talks, and launch 60 days of nuclear negotiations. The framework, mediated in part by Pakistan, sets a signing date of June 19 in Switzerland, with both sides confirming agreed wording. Media outlets obtained and published draft and full text details shortly afterward, including a 14-point structure covering ceasefire terms, sanctions relief pathways, and economic incentives tied to compliance. President Trump indicated public release would follow the ceremony, while administration briefings have already disclosed core elements. These developments have aligned trader consensus with rapid disclosure, as verified primary reporting and official statements confirm the text is now available ahead of the formal signing.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado final: No
US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, to halt hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, waive certain oil sanctions during talks, and launch 60 days of nuclear negotiations. The framework, mediated in part by Pakistan, sets a signing date of June 19 in Switzerland, with both sides confirming agreed wording. Media outlets obtained and published draft and full text details shortly afterward, including a 14-point structure covering ceasefire terms, sanctions relief pathways, and economic incentives tied to compliance. President Trump indicated public release would follow the ceremony, while administration briefings have already disclosed core elements. These developments have aligned trader consensus with rapid disclosure, as verified primary reporting and official statements confirm the text is now available ahead of the formal signing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Jun 18 2026
Media outlets publish full text of US-Iran deal
June 17 rises to 100%2%
On June 18, 2026, multiple major news organizations published the full text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, confirming the text's wide public availability. This led to the market price reaching 100% for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes, indicating consensus that the text was released.
Jun 17 2026
US officially releases full 14-point memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 98%39%
The United States government officially released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, including provisions on ceasefire, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This official release confirmed the authenticity of the text and caused the market price to surge to near 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US releases full 14-point agreement text with Iran
June 17 surges to 100%64%
On June 17, 2026, the United States officially released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This public release confirmed the text's availability, causing a sharp rise in market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
Iran publishes official 14-point agreement text
June 17 surges to 100%64%
Iran's government published its copy of the 14-point framework deal on June 17, 2026, matching the US release and confirming the text's authenticity. This reinforced market confidence that the agreement text was widely available, supporting the price surge.
Jun 17 2026
Senior US official reads full text of US-Iran memorandum to reporters
June 17 surges to 100%64%
A senior US administration official publicly read the full 14-point memorandum of understanding on June 17, 2026, providing detailed provisions and timelines. This official disclosure further confirmed the text's public availability, solidifying market certainty.
Jun 17 2026
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly shares full US-Iran deal text
June 17 rises to 100%3%
On June 17, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian published the full text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding on his official social media account, confirming the authenticity and public availability of the agreement text. This official release further solidified market confidence, pushing prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes to 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US officials publicly release full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding
June 17 rises to 100%3%
On June 17, US officials publicly read out and released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, confirming the details of the agreement including ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear negotiation framework. This official disclosure confirmed the public availability of the agreement text, supporting the market's resolution to 'Yes' for June 17 and June 30.
Jun 17 2026
US releases official 14-point agreement text with Iran
The United States officially released the 14-point memorandum of understanding text, detailing the terms of the ceasefire, sanctions relief, and nuclear negotiations. This official release, alongside Iran's publication, confirmed the text's wide public availability and led to the market price reaching 100% for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
US officially releases full text of 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran
June 17 surges to 100%41%
On June 17, the United States government officially released the full text of the memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This official release confirmed the text's wide availability to the public, causing the market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes to reach 100%.
Jun 17 2026
Iran publishes its copy of the 14-point US-Iran framework deal
June 17 surges to 100%41%
On June 17, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian published Tehran's copy of the 14-point framework deal, matching the US release and confirming the text's authenticity and public availability. This further solidified market confidence in the text's release.
Jun 17 2026
Bloomberg reports Iran to resume oil exports under interim US deal
June 17 surges to 55%23%
On June 17, Bloomberg reported that Iran would be allowed to immediately start oil exports under the interim deal with the US, citing a draft of the agreement. This report included verbatim text excerpts, confirming public access to the agreement's wording.
Jun 17 2026
Insurance Journal publishes full 14-point draft memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 55%23%
Insurance Journal published the full text of the 14-point draft MoU on June 17, including detailed provisions about lifting the naval blockade and restoring shipping traffic, confirming the agreement text was widely available to the public.
Jun 17 2026
CNN Obtains and Publishes Full Text of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
June 17 surges to 83%40%
CNN published the full 14-point text of the memorandum of understanding obtained from a US official, confirming the exact wording of the agreement and causing a final surge in the June 17 and June 19 markets.
Jun 17 2026
US administration publicly releases full text of 14-point US-Iran agreement
June 17 surges to 100%70%
On June 17, 2026, the US government officially released the full text of the memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing the ceasefire extension, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear program provisions. This public disclosure met the market's resolution criteria, causing prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes to surge to 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US administration officially releases full 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 100%68%
On June 17, 2026, a senior US administration official publicly read out and provided the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran. This official release included detailed provisions on ceasefire, sanctions relief, nuclear commitments, and economic plans, fulfilling the market's criteria for public availability of the agreement text and causing a sharp rise in market prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
Multiple major news outlets publish full text of US-Iran agreement
June 17 surges to 100%45%
On June 17, major news organizations including CNN, The New York Times, Time, Euronews, and NBC News published the full text of the US-Iran 14-point agreement, confirming its wide public availability. This broad media dissemination solidified market confidence that the agreement text was publicly released by June 17.
Jun 17 2026
Senior US officials publicly read and release official 14-point US-Iran agreement text
June 17 surges to 100%17%
On June 17, senior US administration officials publicly read the full 14-point memorandum of understanding text and released the official document, confirming the details of the agreement. Iran's president also published the document on social media, confirming the text's authenticity. This official release and confirmation caused the market to reach 100% certainty that the text was publicly available before the deadline.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding published by analysts and media
June 16 surges to 39%23%
On June 16, foreign policy analyst Josh Block and Saudi media published the full 14-point draft text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, detailing clauses on sanctions relief, oil exports, and further negotiations. Western media outlets such as the Wall Street Journal and Axios corroborated these details, confirming the authenticity of the text and boosting market confidence in the public release of the agreement text.
Jun 16 2026
Al Arabiya Publishes Leaked Text of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
June 16 surges to 59%46%
Saudi state-owned media outlet Al Arabiya obtained and published the full 14-point draft text of the US-Iran agreement, detailing sanctions relief, a $300 billion development fund, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked 14-point draft memorandum of understanding between US and Iran published
June 16 surges to 43%27%
On June 16, foreign policy analyst Josh Block and Saudi media published an identical version of the US-Iran MoU text, detailing all 14 clauses of the agreement to be signed on June 19. Western media outlets corroborated the authenticity of this leaked text, confirming public availability of the agreement's wording.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked and published full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding
June 17 surges to 70%47%
On June 16, multiple sources including foreign policy analysts and Saudi media published the leaked full text of the 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding, detailing ceasefire extension, sanctions relief, and regional security measures. This public release of the text caused a significant jump in market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes, confirming the availability of the agreement text to the public.
Jun 16 2026
Western Media Outlets Corroborate Leaked US-Iran Agreement Clauses
June 17 surges to 70%41%
Major Western news organizations, including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and Axios, confirmed the authenticity of the leaked 14-point agreement, driving up the probability of the June 17 outcome.
Jun 16 2026
Bloomberg publishes detailed 14-point draft memorandum of understanding
June 16 surges to 43%27%
Bloomberg News published the full 14-point draft MoU text on June 16, providing the most complete public accounting of the economic and diplomatic terms of the US-Iran agreement, confirming the text's wide availability to the public.
Jun 16 2026
Bloomberg publishes 14-point draft memorandum text between US and Iran
June 17 surges to 64%28%
On June 16, 2026, Bloomberg published the 14-point draft memorandum of understanding text between the US and Iran, providing the public with verbatim portions of the agreement text, which increased market confidence in a "Yes" resolution for text release by June 17 and beyond.
Jun 16 2026
US Vice President JD Vance confirms expectation of text release before signing
June 17 surges to 64%28%
On June 16, 2026, US Vice President JD Vance stated in interviews that the administration expected a full spectrum of representatives at the signing and indicated the finalized text was ready, signaling imminent public release and boosting market prices for near-term text availability.
"¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17 de junio" con 100%, seguido de "19 de junio" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?" ha generado $6.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?" es "17 de junio" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "19 de junio" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $6.7 million operados en “¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para "17 de junio" en el mercado "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 100% de que "17 de junio" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 100¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?" ha sido resuelto. El resultado final ha sido determinado y el mercado ya no está abierto para operar. Aún puedes revisar las probabilidades históricas, probabilidades de resultados y comentarios en esta página.
El mercado "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?" tiene una comunidad activa de 302 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿Texto del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán publicado por...?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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