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icon for ¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?

¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?

icon for ¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?

¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?

$21,392,137 Vol.

16 jun 2026
Polymarket

$21,392,137 Vol.

Polymarket

15 de junio

$20,219,694 Vol.

22 de junio

$470,802 Vol.

30 de junio

$486,285 Vol.

31 de julio

$215,356 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$21,392,137
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$21,392,137
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "15 de junio" con 100%, seguido de "22 de junio" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?" ha generado $21.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?" es "15 de junio" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "22 de junio" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Estados Unidos e Irán firman un acuerdo por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.