The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for August 2026 prints at 51.7, confirming the preliminary 51.0 reading and aligning with forecaster consensus near 51.0 after a 6% month-over-month decline from July’s 55.2. Persistent inflation concerns, including year-ahead expectations at 4.0% and gasoline price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, combined with weakening one-year and five-year business outlooks, have anchored trader positioning in the 49.0–51.9 band. The survey’s methodology produces only modest final revisions relative to the mid-month preliminary, reinforcing the near-certain market-implied odds. A material shift outside this range would require an unusually large revision or unexpected data release, scenarios with limited historical precedent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado49.0–51.9 100.0%
<49.0 <1%
52.0–54.9 <1%
55.0–57.9 <1%
$41,785 Vol.
$41,785 Vol.
<49.0
No
49.0–51.9
Sí
52.0–54.9
No
55.0–57.9
No
58.0–60.9
No
61.0–63.9
No
64.0+
No
49.0–51.9 100.0%
<49.0 <1%
52.0–54.9 <1%
55.0–57.9 <1%
$41,785 Vol.
$41,785 Vol.
<49.0
No
49.0–51.9
Sí
52.0–54.9
No
55.0–57.9
No
58.0–60.9
No
61.0–63.9
No
64.0+
No
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Fuente de resolución
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for August 2026 prints at 51.7, confirming the preliminary 51.0 reading and aligning with forecaster consensus near 51.0 after a 6% month-over-month decline from July’s 55.2. Persistent inflation concerns, including year-ahead expectations at 4.0% and gasoline price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, combined with weakening one-year and five-year business outlooks, have anchored trader positioning in the 49.0–51.9 band. The survey’s methodology produces only modest final revisions relative to the mid-month preliminary, reinforcing the near-certain market-implied odds. A material shift outside this range would require an unusually large revision or unexpected data release, scenarios with limited historical precedent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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