Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds sole discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 to request an election at any time before the fixed deadline of August 2029, creating the core uncertainty in this market. Recent May 2026 local and devolved elections exposed sharp Labour weakness, with Reform UK surging to around 28% in subsequent national polls while Labour slumped, intensifying internal party pressure on Starmer without yet prompting dissolution talk. Traders therefore assign only minimal probability to a call by mid-2026, viewing an autumn 2026 or 2027 window as more plausible if economic conditions or by-election results further erode the government’s position. Key upcoming catalysts include ongoing opinion trends, fiscal updates, and any sudden parliamentary setbacks that could shift the prime minister’s calculus before the five-year term expires.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?
¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?
$787,098 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
2%
December 31, 2026
14%
$787,098 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$60,422 Vol.
2%
December 31, 2026
$952 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds sole discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 to request an election at any time before the fixed deadline of August 2029, creating the core uncertainty in this market. Recent May 2026 local and devolved elections exposed sharp Labour weakness, with Reform UK surging to around 28% in subsequent national polls while Labour slumped, intensifying internal party pressure on Starmer without yet prompting dissolution talk. Traders therefore assign only minimal probability to a call by mid-2026, viewing an autumn 2026 or 2027 window as more plausible if economic conditions or by-election results further erode the government’s position. Key upcoming catalysts include ongoing opinion trends, fiscal updates, and any sudden parliamentary setbacks that could shift the prime minister’s calculus before the five-year term expires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
Volumen
$787,098Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds sole discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 to request an election at any time before the fixed deadline of August 2029, creating the core uncertainty in this market. Recent May 2026 local and devolved elections exposed sharp Labour weakness, with Reform UK surging to around 28% in subsequent national polls while Labour slumped, intensifying internal party pressure on Starmer without yet prompting dissolution talk. Traders therefore assign only minimal probability to a call by mid-2026, viewing an autumn 2026 or 2027 window as more plausible if economic conditions or by-election results further erode the government’s position. Key upcoming catalysts include ongoing opinion trends, fiscal updates, and any sudden parliamentary setbacks that could shift the prime minister’s calculus before the five-year term expires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$787,098Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds sole discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 to request an election at any time before the fixed deadline of August 2029, creating the core uncertainty in this market. Recent May 2026 local and devolved elections exposed sharp Labour weakness, with Reform UK surging to around 28% in subsequent national polls while Labour slumped, intensifying internal party pressure on Starmer without yet prompting dissolution talk. Traders therefore assign only minimal probability to a call by mid-2026, viewing an autumn 2026 or 2027 window as more plausible if economic conditions or by-election results further erode the government’s position. Key upcoming catalysts include ongoing opinion trends, fiscal updates, and any sudden parliamentary setbacks that could shift the prime minister’s calculus before the five-year term expires.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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