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¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?

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¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?

$738,603 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$738,603 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$12,935 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer commands a large House of Commons majority from the 2024 general election victory, dictating dissolution timing no later than August 2029, but recent opinion polls reflect trader concerns over his government's slide, with Reform UK leading at 25%, Labour tied at 17% with Conservatives amid economic stagnation, tax hikes, and winter fuel allowance cuts backlash. Greens surged after their February Gorton and Denton by-election win, fragmenting the vote further. Upcoming May 7 local elections in England, Scotland, and Wales—contesting thousands of council seats—serve as a pivotal referendum, with forecasts predicting heavy Labour losses to Reform, Lib Dems, and Greens that could trigger leadership challenges or snap election demands from opposition parties like Reform UK.

Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer commands a large House of Commons majority from the 2024 general election victory, dictating dissolution timing no later than August 2029, but recent opinion polls reflect trader concerns over his government's slide, with Reform UK leading at 25%, Labour tied at 17% with Conservatives amid economic stagnation, tax hikes, and winter fuel allowance cuts backlash. Greens surged after their February Gorton and Denton by-election win, fragmenting the vote further. Upcoming May 7 local elections in England, Scotland, and Wales—contesting thousands of council seats—serve as a pivotal referendum, with forecasts predicting heavy Labour losses to Reform, Lib Dems, and Greens that could trigger leadership challenges or snap election demands from opposition parties like Reform UK.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer commands a large House of Commons majority from the 2024 general election victory, dictating dissolution timing no later than August 2029, but recent opinion polls reflect trader concerns over his government's slide, with Reform UK leading at 25%, Labour tied at 17% with Conservatives amid economic stagnation, tax hikes, and winter fuel allowance cuts backlash. Greens surged after their February Gorton and Denton by-election win, fragmenting the vote further. Upcoming May 7 local elections in England, Scotland, and Wales—contesting thousands of council seats—serve as a pivotal referendum, with forecasts predicting heavy Labour losses to Reform, Lib Dems, and Greens that could trigger leadership challenges or snap election demands from opposition parties like Reform UK.

Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer commands a large House of Commons majority from the 2024 general election victory, dictating dissolution timing no later than August 2029, but recent opinion polls reflect trader concerns over his government's slide, with Reform UK leading at 25%, Labour tied at 17% with Conservatives amid economic stagnation, tax hikes, and winter fuel allowance cuts backlash. Greens surged after their February Gorton and Denton by-election win, fragmenting the vote further. Upcoming May 7 local elections in England, Scotland, and Wales—contesting thousands of council seats—serve as a pivotal referendum, with forecasts predicting heavy Labour losses to Reform, Lib Dems, and Greens that could trigger leadership challenges or snap election demands from opposition parties like Reform UK.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2026" con 7%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 7¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 7% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?" ha generado $738.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?" es "30 de junio de 2026" con solo 7%, con "31 de marzo" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.