Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 83% implied probability in the TX-10 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+12) where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2024, alongside historical GOP dominance since 2005. Incumbent Michael McCaul's September 2025 retirement opened the seat, but Chris Gober secured the nomination outright in the March 3 Republican primary with 51% against nine challengers, bolstered by $2.3 million raised versus Democrat Caitlin Rourk's $244,000. No public polling exists, but unanimous Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato underscore structural advantages, with the general election set for November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-10
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-10
$14,624 Vol.
$14,624 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Demócrata
17%
$14,624 Vol.
$14,624 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,772 Vol.
83%
Partido Demócrata
$8,852 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 83% implied probability in the TX-10 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+12) where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2024, alongside historical GOP dominance since 2005. Incumbent Michael McCaul's September 2025 retirement opened the seat, but Chris Gober secured the nomination outright in the March 3 Republican primary with 51% against nine challengers, bolstered by $2.3 million raised versus Democrat Caitlin Rourk's $244,000. No public polling exists, but unanimous Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato underscore structural advantages, with the general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$14,624Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 83% implied probability in the TX-10 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+12) where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2024, alongside historical GOP dominance since 2005. Incumbent Michael McCaul's September 2025 retirement opened the seat, but Chris Gober secured the nomination outright in the March 3 Republican primary with 51% against nine challengers, bolstered by $2.3 million raised versus Democrat Caitlin Rourk's $244,000. No public polling exists, but unanimous Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato underscore structural advantages, with the general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,624Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 83% implied probability in the TX-10 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+12) where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2024, alongside historical GOP dominance since 2005. Incumbent Michael McCaul's September 2025 retirement opened the seat, but Chris Gober secured the nomination outright in the March 3 Republican primary with 51% against nine challengers, bolstered by $2.3 million raised versus Democrat Caitlin Rourk's $244,000. No public polling exists, but unanimous Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato underscore structural advantages, with the general election set for November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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