The central barrier to Turkey rejoining the F-35 program remains its possession of Russian S-400 air-defense systems, acquired in 2019, which led to its 2019 removal over concerns about technology security and CAATSA compliance. US officials have repeatedly stated that Ankara must fully dispose of the systems, provide non-acquisition assurances, and meet certification requirements before any reinstatement or aircraft delivery. Recent developments include bilateral talks under the Trump administration, Turkish efforts to transfer the S-400s to the UAE (now stalled as of mid-2026), and statements from both Erdoğan and US diplomats signaling ongoing negotiations tied to NATO cooperation. Congressional opposition and legal hurdles persist, while scheduled diplomatic engagements could influence timelines for any breakthrough.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$40,793 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
11%
30 de junio de 2027
34%
$40,793 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$29,486 Vol.
11%
30 de junio de 2027
$11,307 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.The central barrier to Turkey rejoining the F-35 program remains its possession of Russian S-400 air-defense systems, acquired in 2019, which led to its 2019 removal over concerns about technology security and CAATSA compliance. US officials have repeatedly stated that Ankara must fully dispose of the systems, provide non-acquisition assurances, and meet certification requirements before any reinstatement or aircraft delivery. Recent developments include bilateral talks under the Trump administration, Turkish efforts to transfer the S-400s to the UAE (now stalled as of mid-2026), and statements from both Erdoğan and US diplomats signaling ongoing negotiations tied to NATO cooperation. Congressional opposition and legal hurdles persist, while scheduled diplomatic engagements could influence timelines for any breakthrough.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Volumen
$40,793Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.The central barrier to Turkey rejoining the F-35 program remains its possession of Russian S-400 air-defense systems, acquired in 2019, which led to its 2019 removal over concerns about technology security and CAATSA compliance. US officials have repeatedly stated that Ankara must fully dispose of the systems, provide non-acquisition assurances, and meet certification requirements before any reinstatement or aircraft delivery. Recent developments include bilateral talks under the Trump administration, Turkish efforts to transfer the S-400s to the UAE (now stalled as of mid-2026), and statements from both Erdoğan and US diplomats signaling ongoing negotiations tied to NATO cooperation. Congressional opposition and legal hurdles persist, while scheduled diplomatic engagements could influence timelines for any breakthrough.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Volumen
$40,793Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The central barrier to Turkey rejoining the F-35 program remains its possession of Russian S-400 air-defense systems, acquired in 2019, which led to its 2019 removal over concerns about technology security and CAATSA compliance. US officials have repeatedly stated that Ankara must fully dispose of the systems, provide non-acquisition assurances, and meet certification requirements before any reinstatement or aircraft delivery. Recent developments include bilateral talks under the Trump administration, Turkish efforts to transfer the S-400s to the UAE (now stalled as of mid-2026), and statements from both Erdoğan and US diplomats signaling ongoing negotiations tied to NATO cooperation. Congressional opposition and legal hurdles persist, while scheduled diplomatic engagements could influence timelines for any breakthrough.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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