The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15 produced competing U.S. and Chinese readouts that now shape trader assessments of announcements by the May 22 cutoff. Trump highlighted claimed commitments on $17 billion in annual U.S. agricultural purchases through 2028, renewed access for American beef and poultry, Boeing aircraft orders, rare earth supply-chain cooperation, and joint statements on keeping the Strait of Hormuz open plus preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon. Beijing emphasized tariff rollbacks, new bilateral trade and investment councils, and a call for U.S. caution on Taiwan while downplaying specific purchase volumes. These verified outcomes from primary statements, against a backdrop of prior 2025-2026 trade tensions, form the factual record traders evaluate for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,720,188 Vol.
22 may 2026
Reducción de aranceles
No
Canal de seguridad en IA entre EE. UU. y China
Sí
Liberación de estadounidenses detenidos
No
Junta de Comercio EE. UU.-China
Sí
Suspensión de ventas de armas a Taiwán
Sí
Alivio de las restricciones de exportación de IA
No
Nuevas sanciones
No
$1,720,188 Vol.
Reducción de aranceles
$1,433,739 Vol.
No
Canal de seguridad en IA entre EE. UU. y China
$48,827 Vol.
Sí
Liberación de estadounidenses detenidos
$11,126 Vol.
No
Junta de Comercio EE. UU.-China
$26,821 Vol.
Sí
Suspensión de ventas de armas a Taiwán
$106,743 Vol.
Sí
Alivio de las restricciones de exportación de IA
$39,094 Vol.
No
Nuevas sanciones
$53,839 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15 produced competing U.S. and Chinese readouts that now shape trader assessments of announcements by the May 22 cutoff. Trump highlighted claimed commitments on $17 billion in annual U.S. agricultural purchases through 2028, renewed access for American beef and poultry, Boeing aircraft orders, rare earth supply-chain cooperation, and joint statements on keeping the Strait of Hormuz open plus preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon. Beijing emphasized tariff rollbacks, new bilateral trade and investment councils, and a call for U.S. caution on Taiwan while downplaying specific purchase volumes. These verified outcomes from primary statements, against a backdrop of prior 2025-2026 trade tensions, form the factual record traders evaluate for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
Volumen
$1,720,188Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 8:53 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15 produced competing U.S. and Chinese readouts that now shape trader assessments of announcements by the May 22 cutoff. Trump highlighted claimed commitments on $17 billion in annual U.S. agricultural purchases through 2028, renewed access for American beef and poultry, Boeing aircraft orders, rare earth supply-chain cooperation, and joint statements on keeping the Strait of Hormuz open plus preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon. Beijing emphasized tariff rollbacks, new bilateral trade and investment councils, and a call for U.S. caution on Taiwan while downplaying specific purchase volumes. These verified outcomes from primary statements, against a backdrop of prior 2025-2026 trade tensions, form the factual record traders evaluate for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,720,188Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 8:53 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15 produced competing U.S. and Chinese readouts that now shape trader assessments of announcements by the May 22 cutoff. Trump highlighted claimed commitments on $17 billion in annual U.S. agricultural purchases through 2028, renewed access for American beef and poultry, Boeing aircraft orders, rare earth supply-chain cooperation, and joint statements on keeping the Strait of Hormuz open plus preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon. Beijing emphasized tariff rollbacks, new bilateral trade and investment councils, and a call for U.S. caution on Taiwan while downplaying specific purchase volumes. These verified outcomes from primary statements, against a backdrop of prior 2025-2026 trade tensions, form the factual record traders evaluate for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes