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icon for ¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?

¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?

icon for ¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?

¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$80,475 Vol.

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$80,475 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders price "No" at 100% as the April 17 deadline elapsed without President Trump formally announcing or imposing a qualifying tariff increase explicitly tied to any country's military cooperation with Iran. While Trump warned on April 8 via Truth Social of immediate 50% tariffs on "any and all goods" from nations supplying weapons to Iran—with no exclusions—lacking specific targets, named countries, or follow-up executive action, this fell short of market resolution criteria requiring imposition linked to verified cooperation. Post-ceasefire diplomatic overtures toward Iran sanctions relief and cooperation amid reported regime change further diminished escalation prospects. Only discovery of overlooked formal measures could shift resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.

Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.

A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.

Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$80,475
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders price "No" at 100% as the April 17 deadline elapsed without President Trump formally announcing or imposing a qualifying tariff increase explicitly tied to any country's military cooperation with Iran. While Trump warned on April 8 via Truth Social of immediate 50% tariffs on "any and all goods" from nations supplying weapons to Iran—with no exclusions—lacking specific targets, named countries, or follow-up executive action, this fell short of market resolution criteria requiring imposition linked to verified cooperation. Post-ceasefire diplomatic overtures toward Iran sanctions relief and cooperation amid reported regime change further diminished escalation prospects. Only discovery of overlooked formal measures could shift resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.

Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.

A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.

Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$80,475
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Trump anuncia arancel por cooperación militar de Irán antes del 17 de abril?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?" ha generado $80.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 8, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?" es "¿Trump anuncia arancel por cooperación militar de Irán antes del 17 de abril?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump anuncia aranceles para la cooperación militar con Irán antes del 17 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.