Mayes Middleton holds the leading position in the Texas attorney general race as the Republican nominee in a state with consistent GOP dominance in statewide contests since the late 1990s. He secured the nomination after a contested primary runoff victory over U.S. Representative Chip Roy on May 26, 2026, bolstered by substantial self-funding and alignment with conservative priorities including election integrity measures and limits on certain prosecutorial practices. Democrat Nathan Johnson, who won his party's runoff, has narrowed the gap in recent polling averages to within five points, drawing support from cross-aisle appeals and endorsements from former Republican judges while emphasizing consumer protection and office reforms. Early voting begins October 19 ahead of the November 3 general election, with Libertarian Tom Oxford also on the ballot. Trader consensus reflects Texas's structural Republican advantage tempered by the open seat and polling competitiveness.