The closely matched implied probabilities for OpenAI (36%), Anthropic (31.5%), and Google (22.5%) as second-best Text Arena Math lab reflect intense competition in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where recent model iterations from all three have delivered comparable gains on leaderboards like arena.ai without a clear gap. Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate top math Elo scores through strong chain-of-thought performance, yet OpenAI's GPT-5 series maintains an edge in structured competition problems while Google's Gemini models leverage hybrid capabilities. Lower odds for Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot highlight their rapid iteration but narrower leads in this category. New releases or benchmark updates through late October remain the key swing factors for trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOpenAI 36%
Anthropic 33%
Google 22%
Alibaba 5%
$50,915 Vol.
$50,915 Vol.
31 oct 2026
OpenAI
36%
Anthropic
33%
22%
Alibaba
5%
Baidu
2%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 36%
Anthropic 33%
Google 22%
Alibaba 5%
$50,915 Vol.
$50,915 Vol.
31 oct 2026
OpenAI
$3,822 Vol.
36%
Anthropic
$4,130 Vol.
33%
$32,364 Vol.
22%
Alibaba
$1,311 Vol.
5%
Baidu
$567 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$561 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$659 Vol.
1%
Meta
$571 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$596 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$557 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$538 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$889 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$606 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$591 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$603 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$588 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$737 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$521 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$370 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$336 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched implied probabilities for OpenAI (36%), Anthropic (31.5%), and Google (22.5%) as second-best Text Arena Math lab reflect intense competition in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where recent model iterations from all three have delivered comparable gains on leaderboards like arena.ai without a clear gap. Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate top math Elo scores through strong chain-of-thought performance, yet OpenAI's GPT-5 series maintains an edge in structured competition problems while Google's Gemini models leverage hybrid capabilities. Lower odds for Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot highlight their rapid iteration but narrower leads in this category. New releases or benchmark updates through late October remain the key swing factors for trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$50,915Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched implied probabilities for OpenAI (36%), Anthropic (31.5%), and Google (22.5%) as second-best Text Arena Math lab reflect intense competition in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where recent model iterations from all three have delivered comparable gains on leaderboards like arena.ai without a clear gap. Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate top math Elo scores through strong chain-of-thought performance, yet OpenAI's GPT-5 series maintains an edge in structured competition problems while Google's Gemini models leverage hybrid capabilities. Lower odds for Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot highlight their rapid iteration but narrower leads in this category. New releases or benchmark updates through late October remain the key swing factors for trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$50,915Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched implied probabilities for OpenAI (36%), Anthropic (31.5%), and Google (22.5%) as second-best Text Arena Math lab reflect intense competition in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where recent model iterations from all three have delivered comparable gains on leaderboards like arena.ai without a clear gap. Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate top math Elo scores through strong chain-of-thought performance, yet OpenAI's GPT-5 series maintains an edge in structured competition problems while Google's Gemini models leverage hybrid capabilities. Lower odds for Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot highlight their rapid iteration but narrower leads in this category. New releases or benchmark updates through late October remain the key swing factors for trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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