Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remains firmly entrenched as HHS Secretary with consistent White House backing and active involvement in administration priorities such as the Make America Healthy Again agenda and agency reorganizations. Recent leadership adjustments and his deployment to support midterm efforts reflect sustained institutional support rather than any exit signals. Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to "No" based on this continuity and the absence of confirmation votes, resignation statements, or policy reversals that would indicate departure. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a sudden health issue, major scandal prompting Senate pressure, or an abrupt White House decision tied to post-election strategy.