Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in London in May?
Precipitation in London in May?
<5mm 100.0%
5-10mm <1%
10-15mm <1%
15-20mm <1%
$29,939 Vol.
$29,939 Vol.
31 may 2026
<5mm
Yes
5-10mm
No
10-15mm
No
15-20mm
No
20-25mm
No
25-30mm
No
30mm+
No
<5mm 100.0%
5-10mm <1%
10-15mm <1%
15-20mm <1%
$29,939 Vol.
$29,939 Vol.
31 may 2026
<5mm
$13,486 Vol.
Yes
5-10mm
$9,128 Vol.
No
10-15mm
$841 Vol.
No
15-20mm
$779 Vol.
No
20-25mm
$1,477 Vol.
No
25-30mm
$2,364 Vol.
No
30mm+
$1,863 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$29,939Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$29,939Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes