The People's Bank of China maintained its benchmark lending rates unchanged in May 2026 for the twelfth consecutive month, with the one-year loan prime rate holding at 3.00% and the five-year at 3.50%, in line with trader expectations priced into the market. This outcome reflects resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5.0% year-over-year, ample interbank liquidity, and a policy emphasis on targeted tools rather than broad easing amid external rate constraints. The unchanged seven-day reverse repo rate since mid-2025 has anchored LPR stability, reducing pressure for adjustments despite softer industrial and retail data. While consensus remains firm, unexpected weakness in subsequent releases or shifts in global monetary conditions could still open limited scope for future moves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China en mayo?
¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China en mayo?
No Change 100.0%
Increase <1%
Decrease <1%
$18,987 Vol.
$18,987 Vol.
31 may 2026
Increase
No
No Change
Yes
Decrease
No
No Change 100.0%
Increase <1%
Decrease <1%
$18,987 Vol.
$18,987 Vol.
31 may 2026
Increase
$10,787 Vol.
No
No Change
$4,803 Vol.
Yes
Decrease
$3,397 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China maintained its benchmark lending rates unchanged in May 2026 for the twelfth consecutive month, with the one-year loan prime rate holding at 3.00% and the five-year at 3.50%, in line with trader expectations priced into the market. This outcome reflects resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5.0% year-over-year, ample interbank liquidity, and a policy emphasis on targeted tools rather than broad easing amid external rate constraints. The unchanged seven-day reverse repo rate since mid-2025 has anchored LPR stability, reducing pressure for adjustments despite softer industrial and retail data. While consensus remains firm, unexpected weakness in subsequent releases or shifts in global monetary conditions could still open limited scope for future moves.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$18,987Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China maintained its benchmark lending rates unchanged in May 2026 for the twelfth consecutive month, with the one-year loan prime rate holding at 3.00% and the five-year at 3.50%, in line with trader expectations priced into the market. This outcome reflects resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5.0% year-over-year, ample interbank liquidity, and a policy emphasis on targeted tools rather than broad easing amid external rate constraints. The unchanged seven-day reverse repo rate since mid-2025 has anchored LPR stability, reducing pressure for adjustments despite softer industrial and retail data. While consensus remains firm, unexpected weakness in subsequent releases or shifts in global monetary conditions could still open limited scope for future moves.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Volumen
$18,987Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The People's Bank of China maintained its benchmark lending rates unchanged in May 2026 for the twelfth consecutive month, with the one-year loan prime rate holding at 3.00% and the five-year at 3.50%, in line with trader expectations priced into the market. This outcome reflects resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5.0% year-over-year, ample interbank liquidity, and a policy emphasis on targeted tools rather than broad easing amid external rate constraints. The unchanged seven-day reverse repo rate since mid-2025 has anchored LPR stability, reducing pressure for adjustments despite softer industrial and retail data. While consensus remains firm, unexpected weakness in subsequent releases or shifts in global monetary conditions could still open limited scope for future moves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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