With the 2026 film slate still unfolding and the Oscars 2027 ceremony months away, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Supporting Actress field where no single performance has yet established clear momentum. Anne Hathaway leads at 36.5% implied probability on the strength of anticipated high-profile roles, followed by Mariana di Girolamo and Penélope Cruz in the mid-teens as potential breakout or veteran contenders. Lower odds for Zendaya, Betty Gilpin, Sandra Hüller, and others underscore the absence of decisive guild or critics’ awards signals this early. Historical patterns show supporting categories often shift dramatically once festival premieres, SAG nominations, and precursor results emerge, leaving room for late surges or overlooked performances to reshape the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoÓscar 2027: Ganadora del Óscar a la mejor actriz de reparto
Anne Hathaway 37%
Mariana di Girolamo 15.6%
Penélope Cruz 15%
Zendaya 5.9%
$16,113 Vol.
$16,113 Vol.

Anne Hathaway
37%

Mariana di Girolamo
16%

Penélope Cruz
15%

Zendaya
6%

Betty Gilpin
6%

Sandra Hüller
5%

Margaret Qualley
5%

Tao Okamoto
4%

Parker Posey
3%

Isabella Rossellini
3%

Danielle Deadwyler
3%

Gemma Chan
2%

Inde Navarrette
2%
Anne Hathaway 37%
Mariana di Girolamo 15.6%
Penélope Cruz 15%
Zendaya 5.9%
$16,113 Vol.
$16,113 Vol.

Anne Hathaway
37%

Mariana di Girolamo
16%

Penélope Cruz
15%

Zendaya
6%

Betty Gilpin
6%

Sandra Hüller
5%

Margaret Qualley
5%

Tao Okamoto
4%

Parker Posey
3%

Isabella Rossellini
3%

Danielle Deadwyler
3%

Gemma Chan
2%

Inde Navarrette
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 film slate still unfolding and the Oscars 2027 ceremony months away, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Supporting Actress field where no single performance has yet established clear momentum. Anne Hathaway leads at 36.5% implied probability on the strength of anticipated high-profile roles, followed by Mariana di Girolamo and Penélope Cruz in the mid-teens as potential breakout or veteran contenders. Lower odds for Zendaya, Betty Gilpin, Sandra Hüller, and others underscore the absence of decisive guild or critics’ awards signals this early. Historical patterns show supporting categories often shift dramatically once festival premieres, SAG nominations, and precursor results emerge, leaving room for late surges or overlooked performances to reshape the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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