The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 53.5% implied probability, driven by early industry anticipation for its scale and established creative team ahead of a likely 2026 release. With Dune: Part Three at 15.5% and a broad field of other titles clustered near 50%, traders see the race as wide open this far from nominations, reflecting the absence of guild precursors, festival screenings, or box-office data that typically clarify frontrunners. Historical patterns show Best Picture outcomes often shift with late-year critical consensus and awards-season momentum, leaving room for underdogs to surge once reviews and guild nods arrive. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts and year-end critic lists that could quickly reorder market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoÓscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película
Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película
The Odyssey 54%
Dune: Parte Tres 16%
La Bola Negra 11%
Wild Horse Nine 7%
$187,376 Vol.
$187,376 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Odyssey
54%
Dune: Parte Tres
16%
La Bola Negra
11%
Wild Horse Nine
7%
Digger
6%
The Debut
6%
Fjord
4%
Proyecto Hail Mary
3%
¡Behemoth!
2%
The Invite
1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
The Drama
<1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
<1%
Tony
<1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Fatherland
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
Michael
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
Josephine
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
The Odyssey 54%
Dune: Parte Tres 16%
La Bola Negra 11%
Wild Horse Nine 7%
$187,376 Vol.
$187,376 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Odyssey
$123,481 Vol.
54%
Dune: Parte Tres
$17,808 Vol.
16%
La Bola Negra
$3,304 Vol.
11%
Wild Horse Nine
$7,133 Vol.
7%
Digger
$7,885 Vol.
6%
The Debut
$4,687 Vol.
6%
Fjord
$3,989 Vol.
4%
Proyecto Hail Mary
$3,809 Vol.
3%
¡Behemoth!
$3,294 Vol.
2%
The Invite
$779 Vol.
1%
Disclosure Day
$764 Vol.
<1%
The Drama
$704 Vol.
<1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$737 Vol.
<1%
Tony
$2,898 Vol.
<1%
The Social Reckoning
$712 Vol.
<1%
Fatherland
$699 Vol.
<1%
All of a Sudden
$718 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$866 Vol.
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
$869 Vol.
<1%
Clarissa
$704 Vol.
<1%
Josephine
$815 Vol.
<1%
Saturn Return
$719 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 53.5% implied probability, driven by early industry anticipation for its scale and established creative team ahead of a likely 2026 release. With Dune: Part Three at 15.5% and a broad field of other titles clustered near 50%, traders see the race as wide open this far from nominations, reflecting the absence of guild precursors, festival screenings, or box-office data that typically clarify frontrunners. Historical patterns show Best Picture outcomes often shift with late-year critical consensus and awards-season momentum, leaving room for underdogs to surge once reviews and guild nods arrive. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts and year-end critic lists that could quickly reorder market pricing.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volumen
$187,376Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 53.5% implied probability, driven by early industry anticipation for its scale and established creative team ahead of a likely 2026 release. With Dune: Part Three at 15.5% and a broad field of other titles clustered near 50%, traders see the race as wide open this far from nominations, reflecting the absence of guild precursors, festival screenings, or box-office data that typically clarify frontrunners. Historical patterns show Best Picture outcomes often shift with late-year critical consensus and awards-season momentum, leaving room for underdogs to surge once reviews and guild nods arrive. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts and year-end critic lists that could quickly reorder market pricing.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$187,376Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 53.5% implied probability, driven by early industry anticipation for its scale and established creative team ahead of a likely 2026 release. With Dune: Part Three at 15.5% and a broad field of other titles clustered near 50%, traders see the race as wide open this far from nominations, reflecting the absence of guild precursors, festival screenings, or box-office data that typically clarify frontrunners. Historical patterns show Best Picture outcomes often shift with late-year critical consensus and awards-season momentum, leaving room for underdogs to surge once reviews and guild nods arrive. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts and year-end critic lists that could quickly reorder market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes