The early 2027 Best Original Screenplay market remains tightly contested, with The Debut and Wild Horse Nine trading near parity on the strength of their recent festival premieres and established creative teams. Martin McDonagh’s track record with awards voters, combined with strong Venice reception for the satirical CIA thriller, underpins Wild Horse Nine’s positioning, while Jesse Eisenberg’s sharp community-theater comedy has generated comparable momentum through The Debut’s Telluride and TIFF showings and Julianne Moore’s widely praised lead turn. Lower-priced contenders such as Obsession, Fjord, and Digger reflect solid but less immediate buzz, as most projects await wider critical and guild scrutiny. WGA nominations and fall festival results will likely sharpen differentiation before the January shortlist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
The Debut 36.7%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
Obsession 10%
Elsinore 6.4%
$36,320 Vol.
$36,320 Vol.
The Debut
37%
Wild Horse Nine
34%
Obsession
10%
Elsinore
7%
Digger
4%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
Josephine
3%
The Odyssey
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
A Place in Hell
3%
Fjord
2%
Club Kid
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Fatherland
1%
The Black Ball
1%
The Debut 36.7%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
Obsession 10%
Elsinore 6.4%
$36,320 Vol.
$36,320 Vol.
The Debut
37%
Wild Horse Nine
34%
Obsession
10%
Elsinore
7%
Digger
4%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
Josephine
3%
The Odyssey
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
A Place in Hell
3%
Fjord
2%
Club Kid
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Fatherland
1%
The Black Ball
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The early 2027 Best Original Screenplay market remains tightly contested, with The Debut and Wild Horse Nine trading near parity on the strength of their recent festival premieres and established creative teams. Martin McDonagh’s track record with awards voters, combined with strong Venice reception for the satirical CIA thriller, underpins Wild Horse Nine’s positioning, while Jesse Eisenberg’s sharp community-theater comedy has generated comparable momentum through The Debut’s Telluride and TIFF showings and Julianne Moore’s widely praised lead turn. Lower-priced contenders such as Obsession, Fjord, and Digger reflect solid but less immediate buzz, as most projects await wider critical and guild scrutiny. WGA nominations and fall festival results will likely sharpen differentiation before the January shortlist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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