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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

The Debut 36.7%

Wild Horse Nine 34%

Obsession 10%

Elsinore 6.4%

Polymarket

$36,320 Vol.

The Debut 36.7%

Wild Horse Nine 34%

Obsession 10%

Elsinore 6.4%

Polymarket

$36,320 Vol.

The Debut

$1,456 Vol.

37%

Wild Horse Nine

$27,121 Vol.

34%

Obsession

$825 Vol.

10%

Elsinore

$788 Vol.

7%

Digger

$3,061 Vol.

4%

The Drama

$39 Vol.

4%

The Invite

$59 Vol.

3%

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

$81 Vol.

3%

Josephine

$59 Vol.

3%

The Odyssey

$81 Vol.

3%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$118 Vol.

3%

A Place in Hell

$81 Vol.

3%

Fjord

$1,702 Vol.

2%

Club Kid

$555 Vol.

1%

Forgotten Island

$91 Vol.

1%

Fatherland

$52 Vol.

1%

The Black Ball

$149 Vol.

1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2027 Best Original Screenplay market remains tightly contested, with The Debut and Wild Horse Nine trading near parity on the strength of their recent festival premieres and established creative teams. Martin McDonagh’s track record with awards voters, combined with strong Venice reception for the satirical CIA thriller, underpins Wild Horse Nine’s positioning, while Jesse Eisenberg’s sharp community-theater comedy has generated comparable momentum through The Debut’s Telluride and TIFF showings and Julianne Moore’s widely praised lead turn. Lower-priced contenders such as Obsession, Fjord, and Digger reflect solid but less immediate buzz, as most projects await wider critical and guild scrutiny. WGA nominations and fall festival results will likely sharpen differentiation before the January shortlist.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$36,320
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2027 Best Original Screenplay market remains tightly contested, with The Debut and Wild Horse Nine trading near parity on the strength of their recent festival premieres and established creative teams. Martin McDonagh’s track record with awards voters, combined with strong Venice reception for the satirical CIA thriller, underpins Wild Horse Nine’s positioning, while Jesse Eisenberg’s sharp community-theater comedy has generated comparable momentum through The Debut’s Telluride and TIFF showings and Julianne Moore’s widely praised lead turn. Lower-priced contenders such as Obsession, Fjord, and Digger reflect solid but less immediate buzz, as most projects await wider critical and guild scrutiny. WGA nominations and fall festival results will likely sharpen differentiation before the January shortlist.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$36,320
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "The Debut" con 37%, seguido de "Wild Horse Nine" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner" ha generado $36.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner" es "The Debut" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Wild Horse Nine" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.