The 2027 Best Documentary Feature race remains exceptionally wide open this early in the cycle, with "Other" commanding 50% implied probability on Polymarket and no title exceeding low double digits. American Doctor holds the clearest early edge at 19.5% thanks to its Sundance premiere, subsequent festival awards, timely Gaza subject matter, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk sit in the mid-single digits on the strength of their own festival buzz and distributor backing. Historical patterns show documentary voters typically wait for fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus guild and critics' precursors, before coalescing, leaving substantial room for momentum shifts among the broad field ahead of January nominations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
American Doctor 22%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 14%
One in a Million 7%
Musk 5.1%
$22,094 Vol.
$22,094 Vol.
14 mar 2027
American Doctor
22%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
14%
One in a Million
7%
Musk
5%
Tutu
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
4%
Nuisance Bear
3%
American Doctor 22%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 14%
One in a Million 7%
Musk 5.1%
$22,094 Vol.
$22,094 Vol.
14 mar 2027
American Doctor
$10,666 Vol.
22%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$927 Vol.
14%
One in a Million
$1,994 Vol.
7%
Musk
$39 Vol.
5%
Tutu
$692 Vol.
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$131 Vol.
4%
Nuisance Bear
$7,644 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Documentary Feature race remains exceptionally wide open this early in the cycle, with "Other" commanding 50% implied probability on Polymarket and no title exceeding low double digits. American Doctor holds the clearest early edge at 19.5% thanks to its Sundance premiere, subsequent festival awards, timely Gaza subject matter, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk sit in the mid-single digits on the strength of their own festival buzz and distributor backing. Historical patterns show documentary voters typically wait for fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus guild and critics' precursors, before coalescing, leaving substantial room for momentum shifts among the broad field ahead of January nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volumen
$22,094Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Documentary Feature race remains exceptionally wide open this early in the cycle, with "Other" commanding 50% implied probability on Polymarket and no title exceeding low double digits. American Doctor holds the clearest early edge at 19.5% thanks to its Sundance premiere, subsequent festival awards, timely Gaza subject matter, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk sit in the mid-single digits on the strength of their own festival buzz and distributor backing. Historical patterns show documentary voters typically wait for fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus guild and critics' precursors, before coalescing, leaving substantial room for momentum shifts among the broad field ahead of January nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$22,094Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Best Documentary Feature race remains exceptionally wide open this early in the cycle, with "Other" commanding 50% implied probability on Polymarket and no title exceeding low double digits. American Doctor holds the clearest early edge at 19.5% thanks to its Sundance premiere, subsequent festival awards, timely Gaza subject matter, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk sit in the mid-single digits on the strength of their own festival buzz and distributor backing. Historical patterns show documentary voters typically wait for fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus guild and critics' precursors, before coalescing, leaving substantial room for momentum shifts among the broad field ahead of January nominations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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