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icon for Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

icon for Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

John Malkovich 31.3%

Matt Damon 26%

Andrew Scott 17%

Tom Cruise 16%

Polymarket

$118,121 Vol.

John Malkovich 31.3%

Matt Damon 26%

Andrew Scott 17%

Tom Cruise 16%

Polymarket

$118,121 Vol.

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$9,093 Vol.

31%

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$34,135 Vol.

26%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$12,230 Vol.

17%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$11,449 Vol.

16%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,384 Vol.

9%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,770 Vol.

2%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,783 Vol.

2%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$4,044 Vol.

2%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,698 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,216 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$4,577 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,081 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,910 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,120 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Early trader consensus for the 2027 Best Actor race centers on a handful of high-profile 2026 releases, with John Malkovich, Matt Damon, Andrew Scott, and Tom Cruise emerging as the clearest frontrunners amid a wide-open field.** Malkovich’s recent Venice Best Actor win for *Wild Horse Nine* has sharpened his momentum and narrowed the gap with Damon, whose physically demanding lead in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* continues to draw strong support tied to the film’s commercial scale and critical reception. Cruise’s overdue narrative in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s *Digger* and Scott’s turn in *Pressure* (or *Elsinore*) add further layers of competition. With no dominant precursor yet and fall festivals still ahead, guild nods and late reviews will likely determine which contender pulls ahead before nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$118,121
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Early trader consensus for the 2027 Best Actor race centers on a handful of high-profile 2026 releases, with John Malkovich, Matt Damon, Andrew Scott, and Tom Cruise emerging as the clearest frontrunners amid a wide-open field.** Malkovich’s recent Venice Best Actor win for *Wild Horse Nine* has sharpened his momentum and narrowed the gap with Damon, whose physically demanding lead in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* continues to draw strong support tied to the film’s commercial scale and critical reception. Cruise’s overdue narrative in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s *Digger* and Scott’s turn in *Pressure* (or *Elsinore*) add further layers of competition. With no dominant precursor yet and fall festivals still ahead, guild nods and late reviews will likely determine which contender pulls ahead before nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$118,121
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Malkovich" con 31%, seguido de "Matt Damon" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 31¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" ha generado $118.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" es "John Malkovich" con 31%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Matt Damon" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.