Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$22,251 Vol.

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$22,251 Vol.

<20

$708 Vol.

No

20-39

$9,180 Vol.

Yes

40-59

$7,732 Vol.

No

60-79

$1,665 Vol.

No

80-99

$614 Vol.

No

100-119

$433 Vol.

No

120-139

$433 Vol.

No

140-159

$351 Vol.

No

160-179

$351 Vol.

No

180-199

$391 Vol.

No

200+

$391 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, NYC mayor since January 2026, maintains a consistent X posting cadence through his official @NYCMayor account focused on policy announcements, press events, and routine city updates. Early August developments, including MTA coordination briefings, emergency microgrant programs for child care, extreme weather roundtables, and enforcement actions on illegal devices, align with standard operational communications rather than crisis-driven spikes. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 20-39 range because this matches historical weekly totals from his term, reflecting daily or near-daily activity without elections, scandals, or major emergencies in the August 4-11 window. Factors that could shift outcomes include unexpected breaking events, large-scale incidents, or shifts in scheduled press volume that deviate from baseline patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$22,251
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, NYC mayor since January 2026, maintains a consistent X posting cadence through his official @NYCMayor account focused on policy announcements, press events, and routine city updates. Early August developments, including MTA coordination briefings, emergency microgrant programs for child care, extreme weather roundtables, and enforcement actions on illegal devices, align with standard operational communications rather than crisis-driven spikes. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 20-39 range because this matches historical weekly totals from his term, reflecting daily or near-daily activity without elections, scandals, or major emergencies in the August 4-11 window. Factors that could shift outcomes include unexpected breaking events, large-scale incidents, or shifts in scheduled press volume that deviate from baseline patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$22,251
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20-39" con 100%, seguido de "<20" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" ha generado $22.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" es "20-39" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<20" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.