Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 68.5% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next head coach, driven by reports that president Florentino Pérez views him as the top choice to replace under-pressure incumbent Álvaro Arbeloa, amid the club's disappointing 2025/26 La Liga and Champions League campaigns following an early-season UCL exit. Arbeloa, appointed permanently after Xabi Alonso's January sacking, holds 49.5% as traders weigh his club legend status and potential to steady the ship short-term, though recent poor form has intensified scrutiny. France boss Didier Deschamps at 14.5% reflects earlier shortlist mentions tied to his international pedigree, while lower probabilities for Andoni Iraola, Mauricio Pochettino, and Julian Nagelsmann stem from limited recent links amid Mourinho's surging momentum from Pérez's preference for his dressing-room authority and past Bernabéu success.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJose Mourinho 69%
Didier Deschamps 14.6%
Mauricio Pochettino 6.7%
Andoni Iraola 6.5%
$69,802 Vol.
$69,802 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
69%
Didier Deschamps
15%
Mauricio Pochettino
7%
Andoni Iraola
6%
Jurgen Klopp
4%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
3%
Enzo Maresca
3%
Luis Enrique
1%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Unai Emery
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Jose Mourinho 69%
Didier Deschamps 14.6%
Mauricio Pochettino 6.7%
Andoni Iraola 6.5%
$69,802 Vol.
$69,802 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
69%
Didier Deschamps
15%
Mauricio Pochettino
7%
Andoni Iraola
6%
Jurgen Klopp
4%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
3%
Enzo Maresca
3%
Luis Enrique
1%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Unai Emery
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 68.5% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next head coach, driven by reports that president Florentino Pérez views him as the top choice to replace under-pressure incumbent Álvaro Arbeloa, amid the club's disappointing 2025/26 La Liga and Champions League campaigns following an early-season UCL exit. Arbeloa, appointed permanently after Xabi Alonso's January sacking, holds 49.5% as traders weigh his club legend status and potential to steady the ship short-term, though recent poor form has intensified scrutiny. France boss Didier Deschamps at 14.5% reflects earlier shortlist mentions tied to his international pedigree, while lower probabilities for Andoni Iraola, Mauricio Pochettino, and Julian Nagelsmann stem from limited recent links amid Mourinho's surging momentum from Pérez's preference for his dressing-room authority and past Bernabéu success.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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