The March 31 deadline for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's potential arrest has passed without any custody or detention, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the outcome remains untriggered. Netanyahu's ongoing domestic corruption trial, now in its sixth year with his 79th court appearance in February 2026, has proceeded through testimony and hearings without requiring pretrial detention, reflecting standard Israeli judicial practice for a sitting leader. A March 12 advisory from a key judicial office deemed a pardon request premature, but no escalation to arrest followed. The ICC's 2024 arrest warrant for alleged Gaza war crimes persists, yet Israel rejects its jurisdiction, preventing enforcement domestically. While procedural anomalies or sudden rulings could theoretically prompt post-deadline reconsideration, institutional precedents make this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Netanyahu arrestado antes del 31 de marzo?
¿Netanyahu arrestado antes del 31 de marzo?
Sí
$137,004 Vol.
$137,004 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Sí
$137,004 Vol.
$137,004 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The March 31 deadline for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's potential arrest has passed without any custody or detention, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the outcome remains untriggered. Netanyahu's ongoing domestic corruption trial, now in its sixth year with his 79th court appearance in February 2026, has proceeded through testimony and hearings without requiring pretrial detention, reflecting standard Israeli judicial practice for a sitting leader. A March 12 advisory from a key judicial office deemed a pardon request premature, but no escalation to arrest followed. The ICC's 2024 arrest warrant for alleged Gaza war crimes persists, yet Israel rejects its jurisdiction, preventing enforcement domestically. While procedural anomalies or sudden rulings could theoretically prompt post-deadline reconsideration, institutional precedents make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volumen
$137,004Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The March 31 deadline for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's potential arrest has passed without any custody or detention, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the outcome remains untriggered. Netanyahu's ongoing domestic corruption trial, now in its sixth year with his 79th court appearance in February 2026, has proceeded through testimony and hearings without requiring pretrial detention, reflecting standard Israeli judicial practice for a sitting leader. A March 12 advisory from a key judicial office deemed a pardon request premature, but no escalation to arrest followed. The ICC's 2024 arrest warrant for alleged Gaza war crimes persists, yet Israel rejects its jurisdiction, preventing enforcement domestically. While procedural anomalies or sudden rulings could theoretically prompt post-deadline reconsideration, institutional precedents make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$137,004Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The March 31 deadline for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's potential arrest has passed without any custody or detention, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the outcome remains untriggered. Netanyahu's ongoing domestic corruption trial, now in its sixth year with his 79th court appearance in February 2026, has proceeded through testimony and hearings without requiring pretrial detention, reflecting standard Israeli judicial practice for a sitting leader. A March 12 advisory from a key judicial office deemed a pardon request premature, but no escalation to arrest followed. The ICC's 2024 arrest warrant for alleged Gaza war crimes persists, yet Israel rejects its jurisdiction, preventing enforcement domestically. While procedural anomalies or sudden rulings could theoretically prompt post-deadline reconsideration, institutional precedents make this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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