Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election for another annual term in May 2026, reflecting consistent support from the conservative Principlist majority. As of mid-August 2026, he remains centrally involved in parliamentary diplomacy, including recent statements on U.S.-Iran negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz and a planned high-level visit to Iraq for regional talks. Speaker selections occur through internal Majlis votes, typically aligned with legislative sessions, and Ghalibaf's dual role as negotiator amid ongoing tensions has not produced visible challenges to his position. The low implied probability of removal by year-end stems from these institutional patterns and the absence of major factional shifts or procedural triggers within the current four-year parliamentary term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$48,802 Vol.
30 de septiembre
2%
31 de diciembre
16%
$48,802 Vol.
30 de septiembre
2%
31 de diciembre
16%
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election for another annual term in May 2026, reflecting consistent support from the conservative Principlist majority. As of mid-August 2026, he remains centrally involved in parliamentary diplomacy, including recent statements on U.S.-Iran negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz and a planned high-level visit to Iraq for regional talks. Speaker selections occur through internal Majlis votes, typically aligned with legislative sessions, and Ghalibaf's dual role as negotiator amid ongoing tensions has not produced visible challenges to his position. The low implied probability of removal by year-end stems from these institutional patterns and the absence of major factional shifts or procedural triggers within the current four-year parliamentary term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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