Kyle Schwarber's early-season surge to 20 home runs in the Phillies' first 49 games has positioned him as the current leader and given him the highest implied probability in the market. Aaron Judge sits close behind with 16 homers for the Yankees, supported by his proven track record of 50-plus home run campaigns when healthy. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls with the White Sox keep him in striking distance as a rising power bat. The bunched probabilities among the top contenders reflect the lengthy regular season remaining, where sustained hot streaks, injury avoidance, and favorable matchups can rapidly shift the home run race among established sluggers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKyle Schwarber 39%
Aaron Judge 32%
Munetaka Murakami 14%
Yordan Alvarez 3.4%
$16,800 Vol.
$16,800 Vol.
11 oct 2026
Kyle Schwarber
39%
Aaron Judge
32%
Munetaka Murakami
14%
Yordan Alvarez
3%
Matt Olson
2%
James Wood
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Brandon Lowe
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Jordan Walker
1%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Mike Trout
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Ben Rice
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 39%
Aaron Judge 32%
Munetaka Murakami 14%
Yordan Alvarez 3.4%
$16,800 Vol.
$16,800 Vol.
11 oct 2026
Kyle Schwarber
$4,499 Vol.
39%
Aaron Judge
$2,018 Vol.
32%
Munetaka Murakami
$5,033 Vol.
14%
Yordan Alvarez
$649 Vol.
3%
Matt Olson
$1,024 Vol.
2%
James Wood
$249 Vol.
2%
Elly De La Cruz
$276 Vol.
2%
Shohei Ohtani
$380 Vol.
1%
Junior Caminero
$251 Vol.
1%
Manny Machado
$170 Vol.
1%
Brandon Lowe
$157 Vol.
1%
Cal Raleigh
$120 Vol.
1%
Jordan Walker
$120 Vol.
1%
Shea Langeliers
$316 Vol.
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$120 Vol.
1%
Eugenio Suarez
$120 Vol.
1%
Nick Kurtz
$157 Vol.
1%
Juan Soto
$120 Vol.
1%
Rafael Devers
$120 Vol.
1%
Mike Trout
$120 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$167 Vol.
<1%
Ben Rice
$180 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$120 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$167 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$152 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's early-season surge to 20 home runs in the Phillies' first 49 games has positioned him as the current leader and given him the highest implied probability in the market. Aaron Judge sits close behind with 16 homers for the Yankees, supported by his proven track record of 50-plus home run campaigns when healthy. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls with the White Sox keep him in striking distance as a rising power bat. The bunched probabilities among the top contenders reflect the lengthy regular season remaining, where sustained hot streaks, injury avoidance, and favorable matchups can rapidly shift the home run race among established sluggers.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volumen
$16,800Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's early-season surge to 20 home runs in the Phillies' first 49 games has positioned him as the current leader and given him the highest implied probability in the market. Aaron Judge sits close behind with 16 homers for the Yankees, supported by his proven track record of 50-plus home run campaigns when healthy. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls with the White Sox keep him in striking distance as a rising power bat. The bunched probabilities among the top contenders reflect the lengthy regular season remaining, where sustained hot streaks, injury avoidance, and favorable matchups can rapidly shift the home run race among established sluggers.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,800Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber's early-season surge to 20 home runs in the Phillies' first 49 games has positioned him as the current leader and given him the highest implied probability in the market. Aaron Judge sits close behind with 16 homers for the Yankees, supported by his proven track record of 50-plus home run campaigns when healthy. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls with the White Sox keep him in striking distance as a rising power bat. The bunched probabilities among the top contenders reflect the lengthy regular season remaining, where sustained hot streaks, injury avoidance, and favorable matchups can rapidly shift the home run race among established sluggers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes