Microsoft’s market capitalization, currently near $3.71 trillion at a share price of approximately $500, reflects trader focus on the balance between accelerating AI-driven revenue and elevated capital expenditures. Recent fiscal 2026 results showed 18% revenue growth to $331 billion annually, with Azure expanding over 40% and the AI annualized run rate reaching $37 billion, supported by Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassing 30 million paid seats. However, calendar 2026 capex guidance near $190 billion has weighed on free cash flow expectations, keeping forward multiples around 25–28x amid debates over sustained 15–17% top-line growth into 2027. With roughly four months until year-end resolution, upcoming quarterly updates on Azure margins, commercial bookings, and silicon efficiency gains like Maia 200 will likely determine whether the stock sustains levels supporting a $3.5–4.5 trillion range or shifts toward higher or lower brackets based on execution and macro rate sensitivity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
<$2.50T
-
$2.50-$3.00T
-
$3.00-$3.50T
-
$3.50-$4.00T
-
$4.00-$4.50T
-
$4.50-$5.00T
-
$5.00T+
-
<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
<$2.50T
$0 Vol.
-
$2.50-$3.00T
$0 Vol.
-
$3.00-$3.50T
$0 Vol.
-
$3.50-$4.00T
$0 Vol.
-
$4.00-$4.50T
$0 Vol.
-
$4.50-$5.00T
$0 Vol.
-
$5.00T+
$0 Vol.
-
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s market capitalization, currently near $3.71 trillion at a share price of approximately $500, reflects trader focus on the balance between accelerating AI-driven revenue and elevated capital expenditures. Recent fiscal 2026 results showed 18% revenue growth to $331 billion annually, with Azure expanding over 40% and the AI annualized run rate reaching $37 billion, supported by Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassing 30 million paid seats. However, calendar 2026 capex guidance near $190 billion has weighed on free cash flow expectations, keeping forward multiples around 25–28x amid debates over sustained 15–17% top-line growth into 2027. With roughly four months until year-end resolution, upcoming quarterly updates on Azure margins, commercial bookings, and silicon efficiency gains like Maia 200 will likely determine whether the stock sustains levels supporting a $3.5–4.5 trillion range or shifts toward higher or lower brackets based on execution and macro rate sensitivity.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s market capitalization, currently near $3.71 trillion at a share price of approximately $500, reflects trader focus on the balance between accelerating AI-driven revenue and elevated capital expenditures. Recent fiscal 2026 results showed 18% revenue growth to $331 billion annually, with Azure expanding over 40% and the AI annualized run rate reaching $37 billion, supported by Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassing 30 million paid seats. However, calendar 2026 capex guidance near $190 billion has weighed on free cash flow expectations, keeping forward multiples around 25–28x amid debates over sustained 15–17% top-line growth into 2027. With roughly four months until year-end resolution, upcoming quarterly updates on Azure margins, commercial bookings, and silicon efficiency gains like Maia 200 will likely determine whether the stock sustains levels supporting a $3.5–4.5 trillion range or shifts toward higher or lower brackets based on execution and macro rate sensitivity.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft’s market capitalization, currently near $3.71 trillion at a share price of approximately $500, reflects trader focus on the balance between accelerating AI-driven revenue and elevated capital expenditures. Recent fiscal 2026 results showed 18% revenue growth to $331 billion annually, with Azure expanding over 40% and the AI annualized run rate reaching $37 billion, supported by Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassing 30 million paid seats. However, calendar 2026 capex guidance near $190 billion has weighed on free cash flow expectations, keeping forward multiples around 25–28x amid debates over sustained 15–17% top-line growth into 2027. With roughly four months until year-end resolution, upcoming quarterly updates on Azure margins, commercial bookings, and silicon efficiency gains like Maia 200 will likely determine whether the stock sustains levels supporting a $3.5–4.5 trillion range or shifts toward higher or lower brackets based on execution and macro rate sensitivity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes