Traders assign a 98.4% probability to Spencer Pratt finishing above 25% in the June 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary because ongoing vote counts have consistently placed the former reality TV star in that range, recently reported near 25.5–25.8% as ballots continue to be tallied. His surge stemmed from strong name recognition and voter frustration with wildfire response after losing his home in the 2025 Palisades Fire, helping him outperform earlier polls and stay competitive with Nithya Raman. While final certification remains weeks away, only an unprecedented late swing in remaining ballots—far outside historical patterns—would push him below the threshold and alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
Over
$3,956 Vol.
$3,956 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Over
$3,956 Vol.
$3,956 Vol.
4 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Traders assign a 98.4% probability to Spencer Pratt finishing above 25% in the June 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary because ongoing vote counts have consistently placed the former reality TV star in that range, recently reported near 25.5–25.8% as ballots continue to be tallied. His surge stemmed from strong name recognition and voter frustration with wildfire response after losing his home in the 2025 Palisades Fire, helping him outperform earlier polls and stay competitive with Nithya Raman. While final certification remains weeks away, only an unprecedented late swing in remaining ballots—far outside historical patterns—would push him below the threshold and alter the outcome.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Volumen
$3,956Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Over
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Over
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Traders assign a 98.4% probability to Spencer Pratt finishing above 25% in the June 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary because ongoing vote counts have consistently placed the former reality TV star in that range, recently reported near 25.5–25.8% as ballots continue to be tallied. His surge stemmed from strong name recognition and voter frustration with wildfire response after losing his home in the 2025 Palisades Fire, helping him outperform earlier polls and stay competitive with Nithya Raman. While final certification remains weeks away, only an unprecedented late swing in remaining ballots—far outside historical patterns—would push him below the threshold and alter the outcome.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$3,956Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Over
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Over
Traders assign a 98.4% probability to Spencer Pratt finishing above 25% in the June 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary because ongoing vote counts have consistently placed the former reality TV star in that range, recently reported near 25.5–25.8% as ballots continue to be tallied. His surge stemmed from strong name recognition and voter frustration with wildfire response after losing his home in the 2025 Palisades Fire, helping him outperform earlier polls and stay competitive with Nithya Raman. While final certification remains weeks away, only an unprecedented late swing in remaining ballots—far outside historical patterns—would push him below the threshold and alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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