Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKhamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$29,172 Vol.
$29,172 Vol.
11 ago 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$29,172 Vol.
$29,172 Vol.
11 ago 2026
<5
$9,442 Vol.
Yes
5-9
$6,637 Vol.
No
10-14
$3,690 Vol.
No
15-19
$2,010 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,494 Vol.
No
25-29
$1,277 Vol.
No
30-34
$1,500 Vol.
No
35-39
$473 Vol.
No
40-44
$508 Vol.
No
45-49
$434 Vol.
No
50-54
$582 Vol.
No
55-59
$543 Vol.
No
60+
$582 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$29,172Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$29,172Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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