The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Khamenei # publica del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?
¿Khamenei # publica del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,305 Vol.
$21,305 Vol.
21 ago 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,305 Vol.
$21,305 Vol.
21 ago 2026
<5
$7,779 Vol.
Yes
5-9
$3,026 Vol.
No
10-14
$2,018 Vol.
No
15-19
$1,977 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,300 Vol.
No
25-29
$1,416 Vol.
No
30-34
$1,396 Vol.
No
35-39
$396 Vol.
No
40-44
$370 Vol.
No
45-49
$330 Vol.
No
50-54
$430 Vol.
No
55-59
$437 Vol.
No
60+
$430 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$21,305Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$21,305Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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