Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$475,363 Vol.
30 abr 2026
12 de abril
No
14 de abril
Sí
19 de abril
Sí
30 de abril
Sí
$475,363 Vol.
12 de abril
$90,350 Vol.
No
14 de abril
$195,518 Vol.
Sí
19 de abril
$122,896 Vol.
Sí
30 de abril
$66,597 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Volumen
$475,363Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$475,363Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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