Unity withdrew from Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election in early September after polls placed it well below the 3.25% threshold and alliance talks with parties including Blue and White collapsed. Founded in August by former Likud ministers Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing Zionist option seeking a broad government, the party cited insufficient public support for its platform and an inability to secure viable partnerships. With candidate lists finalized and no Unity slate on the ballot, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% vote share. Late developments such as a successful court challenge to withdrawal rules or an unprecedented reversal of the exit decision remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome.