Recent polling averages from multiple Israeli outlets project Ra'am, led by Mansour Abbas, at five Knesset seats, aligning with the market's leading 4-4.75% vote-share bin. This stability reflects consistent Arab-sector support amid the party's independent run following its July separation from the Joint List. The Central Elections Committee's September 24 disqualification of Ra'am was overturned by the Supreme Court on October 2, removing a key barrier with minimal impact on current surveys. Arab parties overall hold around 13 projected seats, while competition for Arab votes and turnout patterns remain central variables ahead of the October 27 election. Traders appear to price the wisdom-of-crowds consensus from these late-cycle figures.