Recent polling averages place Shas between 7 and 8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with individual surveys ranging from 7 to 10. Trader consensus remains split between the 6-7 and 8-9 seat bins because Shas support has shown limited movement despite volatility in the broader right-wing and Haredi blocs. Key influences include steady ultra-Orthodox turnout patterns, ongoing debates over military draft exemptions, and competition for religious voters with parties such as United Torah Judaism and Religious Zionism. Late shifts in Haredi mobilization, statements from party leader Aryeh Deri on coalition conditions, or changes in overall bloc turnout could push results toward either neighboring outcome before election day.