Recent polls for Israel's October 27 election place Otzma Yehudit between 7 and 9 seats, reflecting a tight contest driven by volatile right-wing voter preferences within Netanyahu's bloc. Support has fluctuated with campaign events, including Itamar Ben-Gvir's demands for senior portfolios such as defense, which some surveys link to modest gains, while competition from Religious Zionism-Zehut and broader bloc performance pulls in the opposite direction. The party's clearance by the Central Elections Committee after disqualification attempts removed one uncertainty but left outcomes sensitive to final turnout among religious and nationalist voters. Traders see limited separation likely before election day, as small shifts in the overall 51-55 seat Netanyahu-aligned total could tip Otzma's allocation across the 6-7, 8-9, or 10+ ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoView resolved

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