SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has driven its IPO-before-2027 implied probability to 95% on Polymarket, positioning the space tech giant for a potential June listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink expansion and AI infrastructure synergies. Cerebras follows closely at 90% odds after its own confidential filing targeting Q2 2026, capitalizing on AI chip demand, while Discord trades at 63% post-filing amid social platform dynamics. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (38%) and Anthropic (45%) reflect absent official announcements despite revenue surges at these AI labs. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and public filings from Databricks and Stripe as key catalysts amid robust private funding but growing public market appetite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$5,300,888 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
95%
Cerebras
89%
Discord
61%
Ledger
61%
WHOOP
47%
Anthropic
44%
OpenAI
38%
Deel
38%
Databricks
31%
SHEIN
30%
Canva
28%
Anysphere (Cursor)
26%
Remoto
23%
ByteDance
23%
Stripe
22%
Celonis
19%
Anduril Industries
22%
Ripple Labs
21%
Glean
21%
Revolut
18%
Anduril
18%
Epic Games
18%
Fannie Mae
17%
Vanta
16%
Applied Intuition
16%
Mistral AI
16%
Freddie Mac
15%
Ramp
14%
Rippling
13%
Waymo
13%
Brex
7%
$5,300,888 Vol.
SpaceX
$455,763 Vol.
95%
Cerebras
$277,759 Vol.
89%
Discord
$424,123 Vol.
61%
Ledger
$475,424 Vol.
61%
WHOOP
$0 Vol.
47%
Anthropic
$165,528 Vol.
44%
OpenAI
$191,926 Vol.
38%
Deel
$117,034 Vol.
38%
Databricks
$446,887 Vol.
31%
SHEIN
$61,099 Vol.
30%
Canva
$20,093 Vol.
28%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$88,869 Vol.
26%
Remoto
$51,191 Vol.
23%
ByteDance
$1,590 Vol.
23%
Stripe
$225,780 Vol.
22%
Celonis
$194,608 Vol.
19%
Anduril Industries
$17,873 Vol.
22%
Ripple Labs
$131,067 Vol.
21%
Glean
$42,741 Vol.
21%
Revolut
$35,338 Vol.
18%
Anduril
$317,281 Vol.
18%
Epic Games
$66,021 Vol.
18%
Fannie Mae
$133,783 Vol.
17%
Vanta
$110,183 Vol.
16%
Applied Intuition
$175,570 Vol.
16%
Mistral AI
$131,790 Vol.
16%
Freddie Mac
$224,589 Vol.
15%
Ramp
$136,557 Vol.
14%
Rippling
$97,054 Vol.
13%
Waymo
$22,527 Vol.
13%
Brex
$100,554 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has driven its IPO-before-2027 implied probability to 95% on Polymarket, positioning the space tech giant for a potential June listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink expansion and AI infrastructure synergies. Cerebras follows closely at 90% odds after its own confidential filing targeting Q2 2026, capitalizing on AI chip demand, while Discord trades at 63% post-filing amid social platform dynamics. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (38%) and Anthropic (45%) reflect absent official announcements despite revenue surges at these AI labs. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and public filings from Databricks and Stripe as key catalysts amid robust private funding but growing public market appetite.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$5,300,888Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has driven its IPO-before-2027 implied probability to 95% on Polymarket, positioning the space tech giant for a potential June listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink expansion and AI infrastructure synergies. Cerebras follows closely at 90% odds after its own confidential filing targeting Q2 2026, capitalizing on AI chip demand, while Discord trades at 63% post-filing amid social platform dynamics. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (38%) and Anthropic (45%) reflect absent official announcements despite revenue surges at these AI labs. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and public filings from Databricks and Stripe as key catalysts amid robust private funding but growing public market appetite.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$5,300,888Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has driven its IPO-before-2027 implied probability to 95% on Polymarket, positioning the space tech giant for a potential June listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink expansion and AI infrastructure synergies. Cerebras follows closely at 90% odds after its own confidential filing targeting Q2 2026, capitalizing on AI chip demand, while Discord trades at 63% post-filing amid social platform dynamics. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (38%) and Anthropic (45%) reflect absent official announcements despite revenue surges at these AI labs. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and public filings from Databricks and Stripe as key catalysts amid robust private funding but growing public market appetite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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