State Rep. La Shawn Ford dominates trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win the open IL-07 Democratic primary, following Rep. Danny Davis's January 2025 retirement announcement and subsequent endorsement of Ford as his successor. This kingmaker nod from the 15-term incumbent, combined with Ford's early fundraising edge—over $250,000 raised—and a February SLF Strategies poll showing him at 37% versus 12% for nearest rival Richard Boykin, has locked in his frontrunner status among a crowded field including Kina Collins and Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Challenges could arise from a high-profile entrant like a county commissioner consolidating progressive support, a Ford scandal, or shifting polls ahead of the March 2026 primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoIL-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
IL-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
La Shawn Ford 100.0%
Richard Boykin <1%
Kina Collins <1%
Melissa Conyears Ervin <1%
$16,420 Vol.
$16,420 Vol.
Richard Boykin
No
Kina Collins
No
Melissa Conyears Ervin
No
Anthony Driver Jr.
No
David Ehrlich
No
Thomas Fisher
No
La Shawn Ford
Sí
Jason Friedman
No
Rory Hoskins
No
Anabel Mendoza
No
Jazmin Robinson
No
Reed Showalter
No
Felix Tello
No
La Shawn Ford 100.0%
Richard Boykin <1%
Kina Collins <1%
Melissa Conyears Ervin <1%
$16,420 Vol.
$16,420 Vol.
Richard Boykin
No
Kina Collins
No
Melissa Conyears Ervin
No
Anthony Driver Jr.
No
David Ehrlich
No
Thomas Fisher
No
La Shawn Ford
Sí
Jason Friedman
No
Rory Hoskins
No
Anabel Mendoza
No
Jazmin Robinson
No
Reed Showalter
No
Felix Tello
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 19, 2025, 2:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. La Shawn Ford dominates trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win the open IL-07 Democratic primary, following Rep. Danny Davis's January 2025 retirement announcement and subsequent endorsement of Ford as his successor. This kingmaker nod from the 15-term incumbent, combined with Ford's early fundraising edge—over $250,000 raised—and a February SLF Strategies poll showing him at 37% versus 12% for nearest rival Richard Boykin, has locked in his frontrunner status among a crowded field including Kina Collins and Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Challenges could arise from a high-profile entrant like a county commissioner consolidating progressive support, a Ford scandal, or shifting polls ahead of the March 2026 primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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