SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado12 100.0%
≤8 <1%
9 <1%
10 <1%
$7,458 Vol.
$7,458 Vol.
31 may 2026
≤8
No
9
No
10
No
11
No
12
Yes
13
No
14 or more
No
12 100.0%
≤8 <1%
9 <1%
10 <1%
$7,458 Vol.
$7,458 Vol.
31 may 2026
≤8
$944 Vol.
No
9
$1,066 Vol.
No
10
$204 Vol.
No
11
$479 Vol.
No
12
$1,028 Vol.
Yes
13
$1,911 Vol.
No
14 or more
$1,825 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$7,458Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volumen
$7,458Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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