Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, with <3 shares at 100% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming zero qualifying incidents. No G3 (strong) or higher geomagnetic storms, S3 (strong) solar radiation storms, or R3 (strong) radio blackouts occurred, as solar activity stayed low after the last M1 flare on April 9 amid a mostly spotless solar disk and absent Earth-directed coronal mass ejections. A coronal hole high-speed solar wind stream prompted G2 (moderate) geomagnetic watches for April 17-18, but activity peaked below strong thresholds. Resolution is near-certain absent rare post-hoc reclassifications from preliminary data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos eventos meteorológicos espaciales importantes han tenido lugar esta semana? (12 de abril - 18 de abril)
¿Cuántos eventos meteorológicos espaciales importantes han tenido lugar esta semana? (12 de abril - 18 de abril)
<3 100.0%
3 <1%
4 <1%
5 <1%
$13,088 Vol.
$13,088 Vol.
18 abr 2026
<3
Sí
3
No
4
No
5
No
6
No
7
No
8+
No
<3 100.0%
3 <1%
4 <1%
5 <1%
$13,088 Vol.
$13,088 Vol.
18 abr 2026
<3
$7,209 Vol.
Sí
3
$734 Vol.
No
4
$3,910 Vol.
No
5
$256 Vol.
No
6
$339 Vol.
No
7
$277 Vol.
No
8+
$362 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, with <3 shares at 100% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming zero qualifying incidents. No G3 (strong) or higher geomagnetic storms, S3 (strong) solar radiation storms, or R3 (strong) radio blackouts occurred, as solar activity stayed low after the last M1 flare on April 9 amid a mostly spotless solar disk and absent Earth-directed coronal mass ejections. A coronal hole high-speed solar wind stream prompted G2 (moderate) geomagnetic watches for April 17-18, but activity peaked below strong thresholds. Resolution is near-certain absent rare post-hoc reclassifications from preliminary data.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$13,088Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, with <3 shares at 100% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming zero qualifying incidents. No G3 (strong) or higher geomagnetic storms, S3 (strong) solar radiation storms, or R3 (strong) radio blackouts occurred, as solar activity stayed low after the last M1 flare on April 9 amid a mostly spotless solar disk and absent Earth-directed coronal mass ejections. A coronal hole high-speed solar wind stream prompted G2 (moderate) geomagnetic watches for April 17-18, but activity peaked below strong thresholds. Resolution is near-certain absent rare post-hoc reclassifications from preliminary data.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$13,088Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, with <3 shares at 100% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming zero qualifying incidents. No G3 (strong) or higher geomagnetic storms, S3 (strong) solar radiation storms, or R3 (strong) radio blackouts occurred, as solar activity stayed low after the last M1 flare on April 9 amid a mostly spotless solar disk and absent Earth-directed coronal mass ejections. A coronal hole high-speed solar wind stream prompted G2 (moderate) geomagnetic watches for April 17-18, but activity peaked below strong thresholds. Resolution is near-certain absent rare post-hoc reclassifications from preliminary data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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