The narrow spread among 19, 20, and 21+ Democratic House seats in New York reflects uncertainty across a handful of competitive districts on the current map. Recent Democratic gains in 2024 left several Long Island and Hudson Valley seats with narrow margins, while Republican-held targets such as NY-17 feature strong incumbents facing organized challenges. Mid-decade redistricting efforts advanced in the legislature but face constitutional and timing barriers that limit immediate impact for November 2026. Primary outcomes, including progressive victories in urban districts, and early fundraising patterns have kept most races within polling margins typical of swing seats. Trader pricing shows limited separation because national midterm dynamics, candidate quality, and turnout in battleground areas could still shift the final tally by one or two seats in either direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos escaños de la Cámara de Representantes ganarán los demócratas en Nueva York?
¿Cuántos escaños de la Cámara de Representantes ganarán los demócratas en Nueva York?
20 36%
21+ 26%
19 24%
18 6.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
<16
<1%
16
1%
17
1%
18
10%
19
24%
20
36%
21+
26%
20 36%
21+ 26%
19 24%
18 6.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
<16
$559 Vol.
<1%
16
$374 Vol.
1%
17
$791 Vol.
1%
18
$983 Vol.
10%
19
$2,251 Vol.
24%
20
$1,238 Vol.
36%
21+
$893 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The narrow spread among 19, 20, and 21+ Democratic House seats in New York reflects uncertainty across a handful of competitive districts on the current map. Recent Democratic gains in 2024 left several Long Island and Hudson Valley seats with narrow margins, while Republican-held targets such as NY-17 feature strong incumbents facing organized challenges. Mid-decade redistricting efforts advanced in the legislature but face constitutional and timing barriers that limit immediate impact for November 2026. Primary outcomes, including progressive victories in urban districts, and early fundraising patterns have kept most races within polling margins typical of swing seats. Trader pricing shows limited separation because national midterm dynamics, candidate quality, and turnout in battleground areas could still shift the final tally by one or two seats in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volumen
$7,089Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The narrow spread among 19, 20, and 21+ Democratic House seats in New York reflects uncertainty across a handful of competitive districts on the current map. Recent Democratic gains in 2024 left several Long Island and Hudson Valley seats with narrow margins, while Republican-held targets such as NY-17 feature strong incumbents facing organized challenges. Mid-decade redistricting efforts advanced in the legislature but face constitutional and timing barriers that limit immediate impact for November 2026. Primary outcomes, including progressive victories in urban districts, and early fundraising patterns have kept most races within polling margins typical of swing seats. Trader pricing shows limited separation because national midterm dynamics, candidate quality, and turnout in battleground areas could still shift the final tally by one or two seats in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in New York in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All New York US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,089Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The narrow spread among 19, 20, and 21+ Democratic House seats in New York reflects uncertainty across a handful of competitive districts on the current map. Recent Democratic gains in 2024 left several Long Island and Hudson Valley seats with narrow margins, while Republican-held targets such as NY-17 feature strong incumbents facing organized challenges. Mid-decade redistricting efforts advanced in the legislature but face constitutional and timing barriers that limit immediate impact for November 2026. Primary outcomes, including progressive victories in urban districts, and early fundraising patterns have kept most races within polling margins typical of swing seats. Trader pricing shows limited separation because national midterm dynamics, candidate quality, and turnout in battleground areas could still shift the final tally by one or two seats in either direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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