Recent polling and forecaster ratings highlight competitive contests in Iowa’s first and third congressional districts, where Democratic challengers Christina Bohannan and Sarah Trone Garriott trail or lead Republican incumbents Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn by single digits in multiple surveys. District 2, an open seat after Ashley Hinson’s Senate run, also draws attention as a potential pickup amid mixed ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others. District 4 remains safely Republican. With November 3 voting still two months away, national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and turnout in these battlegrounds continue to shape trader views on whether Democrats reach two or three seats versus holding at zero or one.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos escaños de la Cámara de Representantes ganarán los demócratas en Iowa?
¿Cuántos escaños de la Cámara de Representantes ganarán los demócratas en Iowa?
3 40%
2 31%
0 18%
1 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
0
18%
1
10%
2
31%
3
40%
4
5%
3 40%
2 31%
0 18%
1 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
0
$648 Vol.
18%
1
$823 Vol.
10%
2
$1,215 Vol.
31%
3
$917 Vol.
40%
4
$414 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling and forecaster ratings highlight competitive contests in Iowa’s first and third congressional districts, where Democratic challengers Christina Bohannan and Sarah Trone Garriott trail or lead Republican incumbents Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn by single digits in multiple surveys. District 2, an open seat after Ashley Hinson’s Senate run, also draws attention as a potential pickup amid mixed ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others. District 4 remains safely Republican. With November 3 voting still two months away, national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and turnout in these battlegrounds continue to shape trader views on whether Democrats reach two or three seats versus holding at zero or one.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Volumen
$4,017Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling and forecaster ratings highlight competitive contests in Iowa’s first and third congressional districts, where Democratic challengers Christina Bohannan and Sarah Trone Garriott trail or lead Republican incumbents Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn by single digits in multiple surveys. District 2, an open seat after Ashley Hinson’s Senate run, also draws attention as a potential pickup amid mixed ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others. District 4 remains safely Republican. With November 3 voting still two months away, national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and turnout in these battlegrounds continue to shape trader views on whether Democrats reach two or three seats versus holding at zero or one.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$4,017Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and forecaster ratings highlight competitive contests in Iowa’s first and third congressional districts, where Democratic challengers Christina Bohannan and Sarah Trone Garriott trail or lead Republican incumbents Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn by single digits in multiple surveys. District 2, an open seat after Ashley Hinson’s Senate run, also draws attention as a potential pickup amid mixed ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others. District 4 remains safely Republican. With November 3 voting still two months away, national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and turnout in these battlegrounds continue to shape trader views on whether Democrats reach two or three seats versus holding at zero or one.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Ganarán los demócratas exactamente 9 escaños en la Cámara de Representantes en Pensilvania en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026?
39%
Sí
¿Ganarán los demócratas exactamente 4 escaños en la Cámara de Representantes en Minnesota en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026?
59%
Sí
¿Ganarán los demócratas exactamente 1 escaño en la Cámara de Representantes en Alabama en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026?
78%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes