Persistent inflation above the 2% target, with July 2026 core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline near 3.7%, alongside a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, anchors trader expectations for divided voting at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. Recent 9-3 outcomes, including three regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike in July, reflect ongoing splits between hawks prioritizing price stability and those preferring patience under Chair Warsh. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around two to three dissents stems from uncertainty over incoming September inflation data, labor reports, and any energy price shifts that could either broaden consensus on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate or intensify hawkish pushback. The September 15-16 FOMC decision and December dot plot will serve as key catalysts shaping the January vote distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de enero?
¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de enero?
3 30%
2 20%
1 19%
0 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ene 2027
0
19%
1
19%
2
20%
3
30%
4 o más
15%
3 30%
2 20%
1 19%
0 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ene 2027
0
$1,253 Vol.
19%
1
$508 Vol.
19%
2
$338 Vol.
20%
3
$7,369 Vol.
30%
4 o más
$498 Vol.
15%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the 2% target, with July 2026 core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline near 3.7%, alongside a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, anchors trader expectations for divided voting at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. Recent 9-3 outcomes, including three regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike in July, reflect ongoing splits between hawks prioritizing price stability and those preferring patience under Chair Warsh. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around two to three dissents stems from uncertainty over incoming September inflation data, labor reports, and any energy price shifts that could either broaden consensus on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate or intensify hawkish pushback. The September 15-16 FOMC decision and December dot plot will serve as key catalysts shaping the January vote distribution.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$9,967Fecha de finalización
27 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the 2% target, with July 2026 core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline near 3.7%, alongside a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, anchors trader expectations for divided voting at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. Recent 9-3 outcomes, including three regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike in July, reflect ongoing splits between hawks prioritizing price stability and those preferring patience under Chair Warsh. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around two to three dissents stems from uncertainty over incoming September inflation data, labor reports, and any energy price shifts that could either broaden consensus on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate or intensify hawkish pushback. The September 15-16 FOMC decision and December dot plot will serve as key catalysts shaping the January vote distribution.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$9,967Fecha de finalización
27 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the 2% target, with July 2026 core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline near 3.7%, alongside a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, anchors trader expectations for divided voting at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. Recent 9-3 outcomes, including three regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike in July, reflect ongoing splits between hawks prioritizing price stability and those preferring patience under Chair Warsh. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around two to three dissents stems from uncertainty over incoming September inflation data, labor reports, and any energy price shifts that could either broaden consensus on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate or intensify hawkish pushback. The September 15-16 FOMC decision and December dot plot will serve as key catalysts shaping the January vote distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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