Market-implied odds for the number of dissents at the December 2026 FOMC meeting remain tightly clustered between two and four or more, reflecting uncertainty over the balance of hawkish and dovish views amid resilient U.S. economic data. The July meeting produced a 9-3 hold decision with three dissents favoring a rate hike, following July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, while August payrolls added 162,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.1%. Traders weigh persistent supply-driven inflation pressures against the labor market's strength, with the current federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%. Key swing factors include the September 11 CPI release, September nonfarm payrolls, the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and updated dot plot, and Chair Warsh's communications, all of which could shift the committee's consensus or intensify divisions ahead of the December resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 23%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 dic 2026
0
17%
1
17%
2
24%
3
23%
4+
22%
2 23.9%
3 23%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 dic 2026
0
$6,210 Vol.
17%
1
$414 Vol.
17%
2
$220 Vol.
24%
3
$260 Vol.
23%
4+
$253 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market-implied odds for the number of dissents at the December 2026 FOMC meeting remain tightly clustered between two and four or more, reflecting uncertainty over the balance of hawkish and dovish views amid resilient U.S. economic data. The July meeting produced a 9-3 hold decision with three dissents favoring a rate hike, following July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, while August payrolls added 162,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.1%. Traders weigh persistent supply-driven inflation pressures against the labor market's strength, with the current federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%. Key swing factors include the September 11 CPI release, September nonfarm payrolls, the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and updated dot plot, and Chair Warsh's communications, all of which could shift the committee's consensus or intensify divisions ahead of the December resolution.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volumen
$7,357Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market-implied odds for the number of dissents at the December 2026 FOMC meeting remain tightly clustered between two and four or more, reflecting uncertainty over the balance of hawkish and dovish views amid resilient U.S. economic data. The July meeting produced a 9-3 hold decision with three dissents favoring a rate hike, following July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, while August payrolls added 162,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.1%. Traders weigh persistent supply-driven inflation pressures against the labor market's strength, with the current federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%. Key swing factors include the September 11 CPI release, September nonfarm payrolls, the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and updated dot plot, and Chair Warsh's communications, all of which could shift the committee's consensus or intensify divisions ahead of the December resolution.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$7,357Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for the number of dissents at the December 2026 FOMC meeting remain tightly clustered between two and four or more, reflecting uncertainty over the balance of hawkish and dovish views amid resilient U.S. economic data. The July meeting produced a 9-3 hold decision with three dissents favoring a rate hike, following July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, while August payrolls added 162,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.1%. Traders weigh persistent supply-driven inflation pressures against the labor market's strength, with the current federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%. Key swing factors include the September 11 CPI release, September nonfarm payrolls, the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and updated dot plot, and Chair Warsh's communications, all of which could shift the committee's consensus or intensify divisions ahead of the December resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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