**Trader consensus on H200 rental prices at end-2026 centers on sustained AI demand balancing incremental supply growth from Blackwell deployments and expanded data-center capacity.** Current on-demand rates cluster around a $3.80–$4.50 median across marketplaces and specialized providers, with hyperscalers still commanding premiums above $10, reflecting H200’s 141 GB HBM3e advantage for memory-bound inference and training workloads. Recent volatility—sharp spot declines in May followed by H200 premiums widening 5–16% over H100 through July—illustrates how existing production stacks and open-weight model adoption keep Hopper GPUs in high rotation even as B200 availability improves. Key swing factors include NVIDIA’s continued production ramp, energy and rack constraints, and whether alternative accelerators or software optimizations meaningfully shift workloads away from H200 by year-end. The tight distribution across the $4–$6 range underscores trader recognition that supply additions may moderate but not eliminate scarcity in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$4.00-$4.50 21%
$5.50-$6.00 16.9%
$3.50-$4.00 15.8%
$5.00-$5.50 14.3%
$14,836 Vol.
$14,836 Vol.
<$2.50
5%
$2.50-$3.00
5%
$3.00-$3.50
6%
$3.50-$4.00
16%
$4.00-$4.50
21%
$4.50-$5.00
14%
$5.00-$5.50
14%
$5.50-$6.00
17%
$6.00-$6.50
9%
$6.50-$7.00
4%
$7.00-$7.50
3%
$7.50+
3%
$4.00-$4.50 21%
$5.50-$6.00 16.9%
$3.50-$4.00 15.8%
$5.00-$5.50 14.3%
$14,836 Vol.
$14,836 Vol.
<$2.50
5%
$2.50-$3.00
5%
$3.00-$3.50
6%
$3.50-$4.00
16%
$4.00-$4.50
21%
$4.50-$5.00
14%
$5.00-$5.50
14%
$5.50-$6.00
17%
$6.00-$6.50
9%
$6.50-$7.00
4%
$7.00-$7.50
3%
$7.50+
3%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on H200 rental prices at end-2026 centers on sustained AI demand balancing incremental supply growth from Blackwell deployments and expanded data-center capacity.** Current on-demand rates cluster around a $3.80–$4.50 median across marketplaces and specialized providers, with hyperscalers still commanding premiums above $10, reflecting H200’s 141 GB HBM3e advantage for memory-bound inference and training workloads. Recent volatility—sharp spot declines in May followed by H200 premiums widening 5–16% over H100 through July—illustrates how existing production stacks and open-weight model adoption keep Hopper GPUs in high rotation even as B200 availability improves. Key swing factors include NVIDIA’s continued production ramp, energy and rack constraints, and whether alternative accelerators or software optimizations meaningfully shift workloads away from H200 by year-end. The tight distribution across the $4–$6 range underscores trader recognition that supply additions may moderate but not eliminate scarcity in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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